RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

RB Leipzig

2 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 20 Jan 2024 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 46,529 HT 45' · FT 45'

Xavi Simons 7' 1–0

1–1 47' Nathan Tella

Lois Openda 56' 2–1

2–2 63' Jonathan Tah

2–3 90+1' Piero Hincapie

Y 12' Jonathan Tah

Y 34' Xabi Alonso

Y 38' Josip Stanisic

Y 66' Florian Wirtz

Xavi Simons 71' Y

Xaver Schlager 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
Assistant 2 Jonas Weickenmeier

20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.4 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-08-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 RB Leipzig 2023-04-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig 2022-10-29 RB Leipzig 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2022-04-17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L
13 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	0–1	L
19 Dec	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–1	D
16 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–1	W
13 Dec	BSC Young Boys	H	2–1	W
09 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	3–2	W
13 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	1–0	W
20 Dec	VfL Bochum 1848	H	4–0	W
17 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–0	W
14 Dec	Molde FK	H	5–1	W
10 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#3	Position	#6
65	Points	59
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
66	Scored	68
47	Conceded	47
+19	GD	+21
1.91	PPG	1.74
59%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen get this one started.
5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
7' What a strike from Xavi Simons! The score is 1-0.
12' The referee shows Bayer 04 Leverkusen player a Yellow card on 12.
17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
22' Adam Hlozek has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
27' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lukas Klostermann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
31' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Jeremie Frimpong trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Tella on 31 minutes.
34' The referee shows Bayer 04 Leverkusen player a Yellow card on 34.
38' That is a Yellow card for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Josip Stanisic will be fuming at that decision.
43' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
47' Nathan Tella adds to his 1 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
52' Nicolas Seiwald needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
56' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lois Openda makes it 2-1.
61' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Jeremie Frimpong has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
63' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Tah makes no mistake. 2-2!
66' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
71' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Xavi Simons.
74' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Benjamin Sesko is replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
84' The crowd applauds Xavi Simons as he leaves the pitch. Eljif Elmas steps in for RB Leipzig.
87' The referee calls foul for Xaver Schlager. He receives a Yellow card.
88' A tactical swap from Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Robert Andrich on, Exequiel Palacios off on 88 minutes.
90' Adam Hlozek gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Patrik Schick and will look to change the dynamic.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen players.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

17
Lois Openda
21
Janis Blaswich
16
Lukas Klostermann
22
David Raum
7
Dani Olmo ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 74'
24
Xaver Schlager
2
Mohamed Simakan ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 74'
20
Xavi Simons ↓ Eljif Elmas 84'
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↓ Kevin Kampl 74'
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 74'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

34
Granit Xhaka
4
Jonathan Tah
1
Lukas Hradecky
7
Jonas Hofmann
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Adam Hlozek 90'
25
Exequiel Palacios ↓ Robert Andrich 88'
20
Alejandro Grimaldo
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↓ Nathan Tella 31'
10
Florian Wirtz
3
Piero Hincapie
2
Josip Stanisic

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	4
Lois Openda	4
Jeremie Frimpong	3
Christopher Nkunku	3
Yussuf Poulsen	2
Nathan Tella	2
Kai Havertz	2
Timo Werner	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-01-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2023-12-19 SV Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-13 RB Leipzig 2–1 BSC Young Boys W 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-01-13 FC Augsburg 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2023-12-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2023-12-17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2023-12-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 Molde FK W 2023-12-10 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.67 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig35% Draw26% Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

61%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

65%

RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig29% Draw42% Bayer 04 Leverkusen29%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

1 – 2

2 – 1

7.9%

2 – 2

6.6%

0 – 1

5.2%

1 – 0

5.1%

0 – 2

0 – 0

4.9%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 1

4.3%

2 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	18%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.