RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Irfan Peljto
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Davor Beljo
6 games this season
🟨 0.2/game
⚽ 2.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–5 | L |
| 20 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Girona FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Getafe CF | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | UD Almeria | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Kampl, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 25' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Lucas Vazquez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Marco Rose.
- 49' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Brahim Diaz on 49.
- 53' The referee calls foul for Mohamed Simakan. He receives a card.
- 58' Lois Openda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
- 63' Benjamin Henrichs has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 66' It’s gonna be a card for Dani Carvajal.
- 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Lois Openda by Yussuf Poulsen on 75 minute.
- 77' Yussuf Poulsen is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
- 82' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
- 84' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Vinicius Junior. He receives a card.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Sesko. He receives a card.
- 90' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 90 minute. Xaver Schlager leaves to be changed by Kevin Kampl.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 75'
- 39
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 22
-
7
Dani Olmo ↓ Eljif Elmas 75'
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 90'
- 2
- 20
- 30
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 75'
- 21
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 75'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 90'
- 3
- 25
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 75'
- 13
- 23
- 5
- 38
Coach
Marco Rose
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Lucas Vazquez 84'
- 23
- 18
- 13
- 8
- 6
- 15
- 7
- 2
- 11
- 12
Bench
- 25
-
14
Joselu ↑ 84'
- 10
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 19
- 24
- 28
- 20
- 30
- 32
- 34
- 41
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Marco Asensio | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Rodrygo | 1 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 1 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.