Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

Tue 13 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Brahim Diaz

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
10 Feb FC Augsburg A 2–2 D
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 2–5 L
20 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
13 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
04 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–1 D
01 Feb Getafe CF A 2–0 W
27 Jan UD Las Palmas A 2–1 W
21 Jan UD Almeria H 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dani Carvajal suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Rodrygo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Dani Olmo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 53 goals in his last 192 appearances.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Toni Kroos is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 40' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marco Rose on 45 minutes.
  • 49' Brahim Diaz does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 53' A moment of madness from Mohamed Simakan on 53 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 58' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-3-1-2.
  • 63' RB Leipzig have won 734 goals from 519 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 66' Dani Carvajal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
  • 71' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Yussuf Poulsen comes on to replace Lois Openda.
  • 77' Yussuf Poulsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 77.
  • 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' Real Madrid CF make a change. Brahim Diaz trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez on 84 minutes.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vinicius Junior on 85 minutes.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Benjamin Sesko on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Kevin Kampl has so much to prove this time. He replaces Xaver Schlager on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — RB Leipzig 0-1 Real Madrid CF. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig29% Draw30% Real Madrid CF41%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig21% Draw51% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.