Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

Tue 13 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Brahim Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Irfan Peljto
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Davor Beljo
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 23.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
10 Feb FC Augsburg A 2–2 D
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 2–5 L
20 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
13 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
04 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–1 D
01 Feb Getafe CF A 2–0 W
27 Jan UD Las Palmas A 2–1 W
21 Jan UD Almeria H 3–2 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 4 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: RB Leipzig gets underway.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 558 games and scored 808 goals.
  • 10' Peter Gulacsi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Marco Rose was booked on 45.
  • 49' A stunning finish from Brahim Diaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mohamed Simakan on 53.
  • 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' Mohamed Simakan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 371 appearances.
  • 66' Dani Carvajal is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 71' Ferland Mendy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 75' Yussuf Poulsen gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Lois Openda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 82' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 84' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Vinicius Junior gets a card.
  • 86' Benjamin Sesko was booked on 86.
  • 90' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Xaver Schlager exits the field as Kevin Kampl enters on 90.
  • With this win, Real Madrid CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig29% Draw30% Real Madrid CF41%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig21% Draw51% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.