RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Irfan Peljto
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Davor Beljo
3 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 23.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–5 | L |
| 20 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Girona FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Getafe CF | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | UD Almeria | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: RB Leipzig gets underway.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 558 games and scored 808 goals.
- 10' Peter Gulacsi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Marco Rose was booked on 45.
- 49' A stunning finish from Brahim Diaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mohamed Simakan on 53.
- 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' Mohamed Simakan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 371 appearances.
- 66' Dani Carvajal is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 71' Ferland Mendy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 75' Yussuf Poulsen gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Lois Openda and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Yussuf Poulsen.
- 82' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez.
- 85' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Vinicius Junior gets a card.
- 86' Benjamin Sesko was booked on 86.
- 90' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Xaver Schlager exits the field as Kevin Kampl enters on 90.
- With this win, Real Madrid CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 75'
- 39
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 22
-
7
Dani Olmo ↓ Eljif Elmas 75'
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 90'
- 2
- 20
- 30
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 75'
- 21
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 75'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 90'
- 3
- 25
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 75'
- 13
- 23
- 5
- 38
Coach
Marco Rose
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Lucas Vazquez 84'
- 23
- 18
- 13
- 8
- 6
- 15
- 7
- 2
- 11
- 12
Bench
- 25
-
14
Joselu ↑ 84'
- 10
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 19
- 24
- 28
- 20
- 30
- 32
- 34
- 41
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Bernardo Silva | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
| Marco Asensio | 1 |
| Arda Guler | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

