EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 33 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 33 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 33 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 53 | Points | 50 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 14 / 11 / 8 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 11 |
| 48 | Scored | 44 |
| 42 | Conceded | 39 |
| +6 | GD | +5 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.52 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
9/6
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/6
76+
8/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
1.69
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 74% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
70%
Draw or CA Mineiro
56%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
19%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.