Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:15 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria HT 45' · FT 45'
Javi Munoz 53' 1–0
1–1 65' Vinicius Junior

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Pau Cebrian
  • Assistant 2 Carlos Alvarez Fernandez (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
3
UD Las Palmas 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
20 Jan Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 2–0 W
13 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–0 W
04 Jan FC Barcelona H 1–2 L
20 Dec Athletic Club A 0–1 L
17 Dec Cadiz CF H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan UD Las Palmas A 2–1 W
21 Jan UD Almeria H 3–2 W
03 Jan RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
21 Dec Deportivo Alaves A 1–0 W
17 Dec Villarreal CF H 4–1 W
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas28% Draw28% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
57%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
72%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Las Palmas22% Draw48% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.9%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
24%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.