Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfB Stuttgart
5 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Enzo Millot pen 25' 1–0
Deniz Undav 30' 2–0
2–1 32' Benjamin Sesko
Jamie Leweling 48' 3–1
3–2 55' Lois Openda
Deniz Undav 56' 4–2
Deniz Undav 75' 5–2
Y 5' Xaver Schlager
Y 16' Mohamed Simakan
Y 43' Christoph Baumgartner
Waldemar Anton 69' Y
Y 79' David Raum

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
9 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

7
3
9
VfB Stuttgart 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig 2022-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 5–2 W
20 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
20 Dec FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
17 Dec FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
10 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 2–5 L
20 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
13 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
19 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–1 D
16 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
13 Dec BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
#8 Position #4
12 Points 18
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 3
15 Scored 27
15 Conceded 13
+0 GD +14
1.33 PPG 2.00
44% Win % 67%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
Ermedin Demirovic 5 G
Josha Vagnoman 2 G 1 A
Maximilian Mittelstadt 2 G 1 A
Bilal El Khannouss 2 G
Grischa Promel 1 G
RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Mercedes-Benz Arena will turn into a battlefield for VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Xaver Schlager was booked on 5.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 16' Poor challenge from Mohamed Simakan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Enzo Millot makes it 1-0.
  • 30' Deniz Undav does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
  • 32' What a moment for Benjamin Sesko! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lukas Klostermann made 527 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 48' What a strike from Jamie Leweling! The score is 3-1.
  • 53' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 55' GOAL! Lois Openda scores on 55.
  • 56' GOAL! Deniz Undav scores on 56.
  • 61' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 67' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Nicolas Seiwald exits the field as Kevin Kampl enters on 67.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Waldemar Anton.
  • 74' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' A goal from the Germany international Deniz Undav! He fires home on 75 to make it 5-2!
  • 77' Dani Olmo makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 79' David Raum is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
  • 84' Roberto Massimo is replacing Jamie Leweling for the VfB Stuttgart side.
  • 85' RB Leipzig make a change. Mohamed Simakan trudges off to be replaced by Willi Orban on 85 minutes.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Josha Vagnoman as he leaves the pitch. Leonidas Stergiou steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 90' Chris Fuhrich makes way for Jovan Milosevic at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
  • The final score is 5-2.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Deniz Undav 4
Dominik Szoboszlai 4
Benjamin Sesko 3
Nick Woltemade 3
Andre Silva 2
Christopher Nkunku 2
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Lois Openda 2

Head to Head

2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig 2022-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 RB Leipzig

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-01-20 VfL Bochum 1848 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-01-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Augsburg W 2023-12-17 FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-12-10 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

RB Leipzig Form

2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-01-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2023-12-19 SV Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-13 RB Leipzig 2–1 BSC Young Boys W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart41% Draw22% RB Leipzig37%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
63%
Draw or RB Leipzig
59%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart31% Draw35% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 4
3%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 16% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.