Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfB Stuttgart
5 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Enzo Millot pen 25' 1–0
Deniz Undav 30' 2–0
2–1 32' Benjamin Sesko
Jamie Leweling 48' 3–1
3–2 55' Lois Openda
Deniz Undav 56' 4–2
Deniz Undav 75' 5–2
Y 5' Xaver Schlager
Y 16' Mohamed Simakan
Y 43' Christoph Baumgartner
Waldemar Anton 69' Y
Y 79' David Raum

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

7
3
9
VfB Stuttgart 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig 2022-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 5–2 W
20 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–3 L
20 Dec FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
17 Dec FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
10 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 2–5 L
20 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
13 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
19 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–1 D
16 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
13 Dec BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
#4 Position #3
62 Points 65
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
71 Scored 66
49 Conceded 47
+22 GD +19
1.82 PPG 1.91
53% Win % 59%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig get this one started.
  • 5' Xaver Schlager is having his name booked by the referee on 5.
  • 10' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 15' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' Mohamed Simakan is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Brilliant from the ! Enzo Millot makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 25.
  • 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Deniz Undav makes it 2-0.
  • 32' Benjamin Sesko adds to his 0 season tally! RB Leipzig lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 37' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-2-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 42' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 43' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Christoph Baumgartner.
  • 48' What a moment for Jamie Leweling! That strike on 48 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Lois Openda gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
  • 56' The deadlock is broken! Deniz Undav gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Eljif Elmas, a North Macedonia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Nicolas Seiwald exits the field as Kevin Kampl enters on 67.
  • 69' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Waldemar Anton gets a Yellow card.
  • 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' Deniz Undav makes no mistake. The score reads 5-2 and VfB Stuttgart are in front.
  • 77' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Dani Olmo is replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 79' David Raum was booked on 79.
  • 84' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Jamie Leweling is replaced by Roberto Massimo.
  • 85' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Mohamed Simakan is replaced by Willi Orban on 85 minute.
  • 87' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Josha Vagnoman by Leonidas Stergiou on 87 minute.
  • 90' Jovan Milosevic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chris Fuhrich at the 90 minute mark.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for RB Leipzig.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Deniz Undav 4
Dominik Szoboszlai 4
Benjamin Sesko 3
Nick Woltemade 3
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Lois Openda 2
Dani Olmo 2
Emil Forsberg 2

Head to Head

2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-27 RB Leipzig 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2022-08-07 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig 2022-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 RB Leipzig

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-01-20 VfL Bochum 1848 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-01-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Augsburg W 2023-12-17 FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-12-10 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

RB Leipzig Form

2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-01-20 RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-01-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2023-12-19 SV Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-13 RB Leipzig 2–1 BSC Young Boys W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.46 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart51% Draw22% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
73%
Draw or RB Leipzig
49%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart40% Draw36% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 2
3.3%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 19% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.