Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Lois Openda 11' 1–0
Benjamin Sesko 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 2–5 L
20 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
13 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
19 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–1 D
16 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
28 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–0 W
24 Jan FC Bayern München A 0–1 L
13 Jan SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
20 Dec 1. FC Koln H 2–0 W
16 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–3 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FC Union Berlin
#3 Position #11
65 Points 39
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 58
+19 GD -14
1.91 PPG 1.15
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.01 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig57% Draw24% 1. FC Union Berlin19%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
43%
RB Leipzig or 1. FC Union Berlin
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw42% 1. FC Union Berlin15%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
39%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.