Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Alessandro Giallatini
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Ciro Carbone
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
RB Leipzig 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Real Madrid CF H 3–2 W
22 Oct FC Augsburg A 3–3 D
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–3 L
22 Oct Sevilla FC H 3–1 W
19 Oct Elche CF A 3–0 W
16 Oct FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
11 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 1–1 D
08 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josko Gvardiol makes it 1-0.
  • 18' Christopher Nkunku has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact .
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' The 36-year-old Nacho has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' Assisted by Marco Asensio with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 49' Real Madrid CF receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 49.
  • 54' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 64' Toni Kroos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Dani Olmo. He replaces Emil Forsberg on 69 minute.
  • 70' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Lucas Vazquez by Dani Carvajal on 70 minute.
  • 75' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 76' The whistle greets Toni Kroos as he departs to be replaced by Eden Hazard.
  • 81' Timo Werner doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Amadou Haidara as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Kampl steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 89' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Mohamed Simakan exits the field as Benjamin Henrichs enters on 89.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig45% Draw25% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
70%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
55%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig32% Draw43% Real Madrid CF25%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.