Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Alessandro Giallatini
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Ciro Carbone
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Real Madrid CF H 3–2 W
22 Oct FC Augsburg A 3–3 D
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–3 L
22 Oct Sevilla FC H 3–1 W
19 Oct Elche CF A 3–0 W
16 Oct FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
11 Oct FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 1–1 D
08 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 4 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting Real Madrid CF for another epic battle.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 13' Josko Gvardiol doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 18' A stunning finish from Christopher Nkunku — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' Toni Kroos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' With 1 assists to his name this season, Benjamin Henrichs is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vinicius Junior makes it 2-1.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Vazquez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 561 games and scored 817 goals.
  • 64' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 69' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Emil Forsberg is replaced by Dani Olmo.
  • 70' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Lucas Vazquez departs to be replaced by Dani Carvajal.
  • 75' Belgium international Thibaut Courtois has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Toni Kroos is replaced by Eden Hazard.
  • 81' Timo Werner does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 84' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 84 minute. Amadou Haidara leaves to be changed by Kevin Kampl.
  • 89' Benjamin Henrichs gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Mohamed Simakan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The points are shared — RB Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid CF. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig45% Draw25% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
70%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
55%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig32% Draw43% Real Madrid CF25%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.