RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Stuart Attwell
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Alessandro Giallatini
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Ciro Carbone
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Hertha BSC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | Celtic FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | Sevilla FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Elche CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | FC Barcelona | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | Getafe CF | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and Real Madrid CF get this one started.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vinicius Junior suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 13' A stunning finish from Josko Gvardiol — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 18' Christopher Nkunku makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
- 23' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Emil Forsberg has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Amadou Haidara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 38 cards already picked up this season.
- 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 44' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 44. Assisted by Marco Asensio
- 49' Poor challenge from Lucas Vazquez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 54' Thibaut Courtois has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 59' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 69' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Emil Forsberg by Dani Olmo on 69 minute.
- 70' Dani Carvajal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Vazquez at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact .
- 76' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Toni Kroos has done his job and it is now time for Eden Hazard to step up.
- 81' Brilliant from the ! Timo Werner makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 81.
- 84' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Amadou Haidara departs to be replaced by Kevin Kampl.
- 89' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Benjamin Henrichs is hanging Mohamed Simakan on the field on 89 minute.
- With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 18
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Dani Olmo 69'
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Abdou Diallo 69'
-
19
Andre Silva ↓ Timo Werner 69'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 84'
- 24
- 17
- 2
- 32
Bench
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 89'
-
37
Abdou Diallo ↑ 69'
-
11
Timo Werner ↑ 69'
- 9
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 84'
-
7
Dani Olmo ↑ 69'
- 38
- 34
Coach
Marco Rose
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 18
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Carvajal 70'
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Eden Hazard 76'
-
6
Nacho ↓ David Alaba 70'
- 11
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 21
- 12
Bench
-
7
Eden Hazard ↑ 76'
- 23
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 70'
- 13
- 16
- 5
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↑ 70'
- –
- –
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 1 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Marco Asensio | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
70%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
55%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.