RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Stuart Attwell
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Alessandro Giallatini
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Ciro Carbone
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Real Madrid CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Hertha BSC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | Celtic FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | Sevilla FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Elche CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | FC Barcelona | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | Getafe CF | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid CF — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Eduardo Camavinga is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 10' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Eden Hazard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 13' Josko Gvardiol adds to his 0 season tally! RB Leipzig lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 18' GOAL! Christopher Nkunku fires home to make it 2-0!
- 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 28' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's shape.
- 33' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vinicius Junior makes it 2-1.
- 49' Lucas Vazquez is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thibaut Courtois made 545 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Amadou Haidara, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 69' Dani Olmo is replacing Emil Forsberg for the RB Leipzig side.
- 70' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dani Carvajal is hanging Lucas Vazquez on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 76' Eden Hazard is replacing Toni Kroos for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 81' Goal! Timo Werner scores his 114 goal in 166 matches.
- 84' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Kevin Kampl on, Amadou Haidara off on 84 minutes.
- 89' Benjamin Henrichs has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mohamed Simakan on 89 minute.
- RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 18
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Dani Olmo 69'
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Abdou Diallo 69'
-
19
Andre Silva ↓ Timo Werner 69'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 84'
- 24
- 17
- 2
- 32
Bench
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 89'
-
37
Abdou Diallo ↑ 69'
-
11
Timo Werner ↑ 69'
- 9
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 84'
-
7
Dani Olmo ↑ 69'
- 38
- 34
Coach
Marco Rose
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 18
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Carvajal 70'
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Eden Hazard 76'
-
6
Nacho ↓ David Alaba 70'
- 11
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 21
- 12
Bench
-
7
Eden Hazard ↑ 76'
- 23
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 70'
- 13
- 16
- 5
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↑ 70'
- –
- –
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Marco Asensio | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Rodrygo | 1 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
70%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
55%
RB Leipzig or Real Madrid CF
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.