Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 21 Jan 2024 · 15:15 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Largie Ramazani
0–2 43' Edgar Gonzalez
Jude Bellingham pen 57' 1–2
Vinicius Junior 67' 2–2
Dani Carvajal 90+9' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD AlmeriaLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Aitor Villate Martinez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan UD Almeria H 3–2 W
03 Jan RCD Mallorca H 1–0 W
21 Dec Deportivo Alaves A 1–0 W
17 Dec Villarreal CF H 4–1 W
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
09 Dec Real Betis Balompie A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
14 Jan Girona FC H 0–0 D
04 Jan CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
20 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–3 L
17 Dec RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
10 Dec Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and UD Almeria.
  • 1' GOAL! Largie Ramazani scores on 1.
  • 6' UD Almeria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 6.
  • 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
  • 16' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 26' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' Antonio Rudiger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 37 Yellow cards this season.
  • 36' UD Almeria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Almeria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' GOAL! Edgar Gonzalez scores on 43.
  • 46' Brahim Diaz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nacho on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Almeria that had 160 games and scored 187 goals.
  • 52' It’s a booking for UD Almeria player. Largie Ramazani gets a Yellow card.
  • 57' GOAL! Jude Bellingham scores on 57.
  • 61' What a strike from Sergio Arribas! The score is 1-3.
  • 64' Dion Lopy was booked on 64.
  • 65' UD Almeria receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 65.
  • 67' Goal! Vinicius Junior scores his 115 goal in 545 matches.
  • 70' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Marc Pubill by Alejandro Pozo on 70 minute.
  • 72' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Marc Pubill is replaced by Alejandro Pozo on 72 minute.
  • 74' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alejandro Pozo.
  • 77' Adri Embarba is replacing Largie Ramazani for the UD Almeria side.
  • 78' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Largie Ramazani is replaced by Adri Embarba on 78 minute.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Toni Kroos is replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Edgar Gonzalez.
  • 85' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Lucas Robertone is replaced by Gonzalo Melero on 85 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gaizka Garitano on 90.
  • Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF60% Draw22% UD Almeria18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
81%
Draw or UD Almeria
40%
Real Madrid CF or UD Almeria
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF40% Draw41% UD Almeria19%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
31%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.