Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 33 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 33 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 33 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Oct | Clube do Remo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 53 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 9 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 8 |
| 37 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 42 |
| -7 | GD | +6 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 27% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
33%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (37 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/5
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
9/6
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/6
76+
8/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Darlan Mendes | 1 |
| Gustavo Martins | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
1.13
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
64%
Draw or EC Bahia
65%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
33%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.