EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 26 games · 43 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 26 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 26 | 45 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 26 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 26 | 42 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 27 | 38 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 25 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 25 | 35 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 25 | 33 |
| 11 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 26 | 32 |
| 12 | Santos FC | 25 | 32 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 26 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo FR | 25 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 25 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 26 | 28 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 26 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 25 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 26 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 25 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | CR Flamengo | H | 1–5 | L |
| 09 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 43 | Points | 28 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 12 |
| 40 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 40 |
| +8 | GD | -11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.08 |
| 42% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (43 pts). Mirassol FC are 16th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
6/2
31-45
5/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/8
76+
3/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 8 G | 1 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 4 A |
| Carlos Eduardo | 4 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
| Joao Victor | 1 |
| Lucas Ramon | 1 |
| Chico | 1 |
| Cristian Renato | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
1.85
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
75%
Draw or Mirassol FC
49%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
76%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.