CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 33 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 33 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 33 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Coritiba FBC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 54 | Points | 53 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 15 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 8 |
| 50 | Scored | 48 |
| 40 | Conceded | 42 |
| +10 | GD | +6 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 45% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
33%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
4/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/4
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
9/6
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/6
76+
8/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The 27-year-old Caio Alexandre has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 16' Lucas Esquivel doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 339 games and scored 367 goals.
- 26' What a strike from Erick! The score is 1-1.
- 30' Nicolas Acevedo was booked on 30.
- 35' CA Paranaense seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 38' Juan Aguirre catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 39' Juan Aguirre picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' CA Paranaense receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jorge Rivaldo is hanging Leozinho on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' CA Paranaense currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' Erick has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Everaldo scoring 2 goals.
- 64' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Erick exits the field as Jean Lucas enters on 64.
- 69' A stunning finish from Jorge Rivaldo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' Caio Alexandre is replacing Nicolas Acevedo for the EC Bahia side.
- 74' A moment of madness from Kaue Junior on 74 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 79' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Kerwin Vargas has done his job and it is now time for Bruno Zapelli to step up.
- 80' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Gilberto Leite on, Gilberto off on 80 minutes.
- 85' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Everton Ribeiro on, Rodrigo Nestor off on 85 minutes.
- 89' Jorge Rivaldo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
- Full Time. CA Paranaense beats EC Bahia
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
12
Gilberto ↓ Gilberto Leite 80'
- 16
- 7
- 14
- 37
-
18
Kerwin Vargas ↓ Bruno Zapelli 79'
- 1
-
33
Juan Aguirre ↓ Dudu 46'
- 4
-
21
Leozinho ↓ Jorge Rivaldo 46'
- 25
Bench
- 3
- 23
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 79'
- 22
- 6
-
53
Dudu ↑ 46'
- 47
- 5
-
2
Gilberto Leite ↑ 80'
- 27
- 70
-
19
Jorge Rivaldo ↑ 46'
Coach
Odair Hellmann
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kaue Junior 64'
- 4
-
14
Erick ↓ Jean Lucas 64'
- 11
- 33
- 46
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Everaldo 85'
- 44
- 16
Bench
-
6
Jean Lucas ↑ 64'
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 85'
- 12
- 17
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 85'
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↑ 73'
- 3
- 23
- 66
- 31
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 64'
- 77
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
67%
Draw or EC Bahia
59%
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.