CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 27 | 56 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | EC Bahia | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 27 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 26 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba FBC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos FC | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 27 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 26 | 33 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 27 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 27 | 28 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 27 | 28 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 26 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 27 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 26 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Coritiba FBC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Aug | Santos FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 42 |
| 31 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +9 |
| 1.70 | PPG | 1.70 |
| 48% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (46 pts). EC Bahia are 4th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
2/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
1.61
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
64%
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
18%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.