SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 33 games · 70 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 33 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 33 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 70 | Points | 53 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 20 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 8 |
| 56 | Scored | 48 |
| 22 | Conceded | 42 |
| +34 | GD | +6 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 61% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
48%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
33%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (70 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
6/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
9/6
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/6
76+
8/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 9 G | 6 A |
| Mauricio | 9 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! SE Palmeiras welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Allianz Parque.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 7' What composure from Jose Manuel Lopez! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 12' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 22' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 27' Caio Alexandre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 353 appearances.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' Roman Gomez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 42' Willian Jose has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 47' EC Bahia come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 64' Khellven was booked on 64.
- 65' Khellven has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
- 65' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Caio Alexandre on, Nicolas Acevedo off on 65 minutes.
- 69' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Vitor Roque exits the field as Ramon Sosa enters on 69.
- 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Evangelista is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 79' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 82' Another change for EC Bahia made on 82 minute. Cristian Olivera leaves to be changed by Mateo Sanabria.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jean Lucas.
- 87' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Andreas Pereira exits the field as Felipe Anderson enters on 87.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 15
- 8
- 30
- 2
- 12
- 1
- 17
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Jhon Arias 69'
- 26
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Ramon Sosa 69'
- 56
Bench
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 87'
- 14
- 3
- 18
- 22
-
11
Jhon Arias ↑ 69'
- 32
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 69'
- 4
- 48
- 50
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 4
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Erick 65'
- 33
- 46
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Willian Jose 82'
-
16
Erick ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
- 99
- 31
Bench
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 82'
- 17
-
14
Erick ↑ 65'
- 27
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↑ 65'
- 15
- 44
- 3
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 82'
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Estevao | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Bahia
43%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.