SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 27 games · 56 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 27 | 56 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | EC Bahia | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 27 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 26 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba FBC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos FC | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 27 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 26 | 33 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 27 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 27 | 28 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 27 | 28 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 26 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 27 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 26 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 56 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 16 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 5 |
| 47 | Scored | 42 |
| 21 | Conceded | 33 |
| +26 | GD | +9 |
| 2.07 | PPG | 1.70 |
| 59% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (56 pts). EC Bahia are 4th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Antonio Carlos | 1 |
| Jhon Arias | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
1.77
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
35%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.