CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | EC Vitoria | 18 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Santos FC | 19 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Mirassol FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -1 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 11th (24 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
1.33
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
65%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 20% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
21%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.