EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 46 | Points | 40 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 43 | Scored | 36 |
| 35 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | +4 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 43% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against CA Mineiro. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 333 games and scored 359 goals.
- 10' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 13' That looks like a foul for a card for Willian Jose.
- 15' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Guilherme Arana will be fuming at that decision.
- 20' Controversy at the stadium! Gustavo Scarpa argues furiously but the card stands.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past CA Mineiro's compact .
- 40' Tomas Cuello has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 45' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Gustavo Scarpa makes way for Tomas Cuello at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
- 51' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 53' Magnificent from Luciano Juba! That is 17 goals in 240 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 58' Caio Alexandre is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
- 62' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Igor Gomes on, Gabriel Menino off on 62 minutes.
- 67' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
- 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 81' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Kayky comes on to replace Ademir Santos.
- 84' Nicolas Acevedo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Caio Alexandre at the 84 minute mark.
- 85' Isaac Aguiar is replacing Junior Alonso for the CA Mineiro side.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Michel Araujo. He receives a card.
- 90' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Erick exits the field as Cauly enters on 90.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 2-1 CA Mineiro. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 90'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 81'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 90'
- 13
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 90'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 84'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 81'
- 3
- 66
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Dudu ↓ Junior Santos 62'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Tomas Cuello 46'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Isaac Aguiar 85'
- 13
- 4
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Igor Gomes 62'
- 21
- 2
- 7
- 44
- 1
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 62'
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 62'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 90'
- 26
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 46'
-
30
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 85'
- 47
- 23
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or CA Mineiro
48%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.