EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 53 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 35 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 |
| 50 | Scored | 44 |
| 45 | Conceded | 40 |
| +5 | GD | +4 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.46 |
| 41% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. EC Bahia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Cuca might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 13' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 13.
- 15' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
- 20' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a card on 20.
- 25' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
- 30' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Luciano Juba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 240 appearances.
- 40' Dudu, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomas Cuello is hanging Gustavo Scarpa on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Lyanco is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 53' Luciano Juba makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 58' Natanael needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 62' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Igor Gomes comes on to replace Gabriel Menino.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bernard suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 342 games and scored 373 goals.
- 77' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 81' The whistle greets Ademir Santos as he departs to be replaced by Kayky.
- 84' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Acevedo is hanging Caio Alexandre on the field on 84 minute.
- 85' Isaac Aguiar gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Junior Alonso and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Michel Araujo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Erick makes way for Cauly at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 2-1 CA Mineiro.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 90'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 81'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 90'
- 13
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 90'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 84'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 81'
- 3
- 66
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Dudu ↓ Junior Santos 62'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Tomas Cuello 46'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Isaac Aguiar 85'
- 13
- 4
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Igor Gomes 62'
- 21
- 2
- 7
- 44
- 1
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 62'
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 62'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 90'
- 26
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 46'
-
30
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 85'
- 47
- 23
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Federico Zaracho | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or CA Mineiro
49%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.