EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 27 |
| 25 | Conceded | 27 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 36% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Mineiro winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 13' Willian Jose catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 13.
- 15' Guilherme Arana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
- 20' The referee has no hesitation. Gustavo Scarpa is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 20.
- 25' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Lyanco has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Hulk has been relatively quiet despite scoring 73 goals in his last 475 appearances.
- 46' Tomas Cuello is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo Scarpa at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 53' Luciano Juba puts EC Bahia on the lead.
- 58' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 62' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Gabriel Menino departs to be replaced by Igor Gomes.
- 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 77' The travelling CA Mineiro supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Kayky. He replaces Ademir Santos on 81 minute.
- 84' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Caio Alexandre departs to be replaced by Nicolas Acevedo.
- 85' Isaac Aguiar gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Junior Alonso and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' That is a card for EC Bahia. Michel Araujo will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Erick by Cauly on 90 minute.
- Full Time. EC Bahia beats CA Mineiro
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 90'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 81'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 90'
- 13
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 90'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 84'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 81'
- 3
- 66
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Dudu ↓ Junior Santos 62'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Tomas Cuello 46'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Isaac Aguiar 85'
- 13
- 4
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Igor Gomes 62'
- 21
- 2
- 7
- 44
- 1
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 62'
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 62'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 90'
- 26
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 46'
-
30
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 85'
- 47
- 23
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or CA Mineiro
48%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.