EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: CA Mineiro gets underway.
- 5' Tomas Cuello, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Rubens is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 13' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Willian Jose on 13 minutes.
- 15' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Guilherme Arana will be fuming at that decision.
- 20' It’s gonna be a card for Gustavo Scarpa.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' Tomas Cuello gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Gustavo Scarpa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eduardo Varjao will be considering his options from the bench.
- 53' What a strike from Luciano Juba! The score is 1-0.
- 58' The 31-year-old Ademir Santos has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 62' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Igor Gomes comes on to replace Gabriel Menino.
- 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 77' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 81' Kayky has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 81 minute.
- 84' Nicolas Acevedo gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Caio Alexandre and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Isaac Aguiar comes on to replace Junior Alonso.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Michel Araujo.
- 90' Cauly is replacing Erick for the EC Bahia side.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 90'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 81'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 90'
- 13
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 90'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 84'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 81'
- 3
- 66
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 83
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Dudu ↓ Junior Santos 62'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Tomas Cuello 46'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Isaac Aguiar 85'
- 13
- 4
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Igor Gomes 62'
- 21
- 2
- 7
- 44
- 1
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 62'
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 62'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 90'
- 26
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 46'
-
30
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 85'
- 47
- 23
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or CA Mineiro
48%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.