CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | SC Recife | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -1 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Mineirao that hosts another battle between CA Mineiro and EC Bahia.
- 5' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Michel Araujo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 15' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Erick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 238 appearances.
- 25' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 33' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Bernard will be fuming at that decision.
- 38' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 41' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 41.
- 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Gustavo Scarpa is replaced by Igor Gomes on 46 minute.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cauly made 145 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 52' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 52.
- 55' The supporters are chanting for Erick. He replaces Michel Araujo on 55 minute.
- 60' Ronaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a card on 62.
- 66' What composure from Hulk! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 70' Iago Borduchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jean Lucas at the 70 minute mark.
- 71' Gabriel Teixeira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bernard on 71 minute.
- 75' Against the run of play, Igor Gomes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 75' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Dudu by Rony on 75 minute.
- 77' Gabriel Teixeira adds to his 0 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 83' Ivan Roman is replacing Ruan for the CA Mineiro side.
- 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Bahia.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 46'
-
11
Bernard ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 71'
- 6
- 13
- 26
-
16
Ruan ↓ Ivan Roman 83'
- 21
- 7
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 75'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 46'
- 38
- 8
- 18
- 25
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
- 1
- 42
-
23
Ivan Roman ↑ 83'
- 20
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Iago Borduchi 70'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Erick 55'
- 4
- 8
- 13
- 33
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Erick 55'
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Willian Jose 70'
Bench
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 70'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 70'
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
5
Rezende ↑ 55'
- 66
- 70
-
16
Erick ↑ 55'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.