CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | SC Recife | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 50 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 50 |
| 40 | Conceded | 45 |
| +4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 41% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Mineiro host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Uruguay international Nicolas Acevedo has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 342 games and scored 373 goals.
- 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bernard.
- 38' David Duarte needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Ronaldo is booked for EC Bahia — card on 41.
- 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Gustavo Scarpa is replaced by Igor Gomes on 46 minute.
- 51' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 52' A moment of madness from Kanu on 52 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 55' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Michel Araujo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Ruan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruan.
- 66' The deadlock is broken! Hulk gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
- 70' Iago Borduchi gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Jean Lucas and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Bernard is withdrawn and Gabriel Teixeira gets his opportunity.
- 75' Igor Gomes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 75' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Dudu has done his job and it is now time for Rony to step up.
- 77' Gabriel Teixeira adds to his 0 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
- 83' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Ruan exits the field as Ivan Roman enters on 83.
- 88' Alan Franco has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 46'
-
11
Bernard ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 71'
- 6
- 13
- 26
-
16
Ruan ↓ Ivan Roman 83'
- 21
- 7
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 75'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 46'
- 38
- 8
- 18
- 25
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
- 1
- 42
-
23
Ivan Roman ↑ 83'
- 20
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Iago Borduchi 70'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Erick 55'
- 4
- 8
- 13
- 33
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Erick 55'
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Willian Jose 70'
Bench
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 70'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 70'
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
5
Rezende ↑ 55'
- 66
- 70
-
16
Erick ↑ 55'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Daniel | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.