CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | SC Recife | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 21 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 5 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 29 |
| 27 | Conceded | 25 |
| +0 | GD | +4 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 38% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Mineiro host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' CA Mineiro have won 475 goals from 475 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Bernard.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Ronaldo.
- 46' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Igor Gomes is hanging Gustavo Scarpa on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' With 1 assists to his name this season, David Duarte is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
- 52' Kanu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
- 55' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Michel Araujo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jorge Sampaoli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' Poor challenge from Ruan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 66' Hulk makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and CA Mineiro are in front.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Iago Borduchi. He replaces Jean Lucas on 70 minute.
- 71' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Bernard is withdrawn and Gabriel Teixeira gets his opportunity.
- 75' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Igor Gomes makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 75' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Dudu is withdrawn and Rony gets his opportunity.
- 77' GOAL! Gabriel Teixeira scores on 77. Assisted by Rony
- 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 83' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Ruan by Ivan Roman on 83 minute.
- 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 46'
-
11
Bernard ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 71'
- 6
- 13
- 26
-
16
Ruan ↓ Ivan Roman 83'
- 21
- 7
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 75'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 46'
- 38
- 8
- 18
- 25
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
- 1
- 42
-
23
Ivan Roman ↑ 83'
- 20
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Iago Borduchi 70'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Erick 55'
- 4
- 8
- 13
- 33
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Erick 55'
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Willian Jose 70'
Bench
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 70'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 70'
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
5
Rezende ↑ 55'
- 66
- 70
-
16
Erick ↑ 55'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Ruan | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.