CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | SC Recife | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 40 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 43 |
| 32 | Conceded | 35 |
| +4 | GD | +8 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 41% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' CA Mineiro have kicked off against EC Bahia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Iago Borduchi, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Bernard was booked on 33.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' It’s gonna be a card for Ronaldo.
- 46' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Gustavo Scarpa by Igor Gomes on 46 minute.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kanu on 52.
- 55' Erick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Michel Araujo at the 55 minute mark.
- 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 62' Ruan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 62.
- 66' Hulk puts CA Mineiro on the lead.
- 70' Iago Borduchi is replacing Jean Lucas for the EC Bahia side.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Gabriel Teixeira. He replaces Bernard on 71 minute.
- 75' Against the run of play, Igor Gomes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 75' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Dudu by Rony on 75 minute.
- 77' Gabriel Teixeira has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 77 minutes.
- 82' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 83' Ivan Roman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruan on 83 minute.
- 88' Bernard is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- Full Time. CA Mineiro beats EC Bahia
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 46'
-
11
Bernard ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 71'
- 6
- 13
- 26
-
16
Ruan ↓ Ivan Roman 83'
- 21
- 7
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 75'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 46'
- 38
- 8
- 18
- 25
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
- 1
- 42
-
23
Ivan Roman ↑ 83'
- 20
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Iago Borduchi 70'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Erick 55'
- 4
- 8
- 13
- 33
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Erick 55'
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Willian Jose 70'
Bench
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 70'
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 70'
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 55'
- 11
-
5
Rezende ↑ 55'
- 66
- 70
-
16
Erick ↑ 55'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Elber | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

