Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sun 2 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC ARENA MRV 37,994 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hulk 62' 1–0
1–1 70' Ademir Santos

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs EC BahiaSerie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jun EC Bahia H 1–1 D
28 May Caracas FC H 4–0 W
14 May CA Peñarol A 0–2 L
07 May CA Rosario Central A 1–0 W
04 May Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
27 Apr Cuiaba EC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jun CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
12 May RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
05 May Botafogo FR A 2–1 W
28 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
21 Apr EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
17 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro EC Bahia
#9 Position #6
24 Points 26
18 Played 17
7 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 5
22 Scored 25
23 Conceded 23
-1 GD +2
1.33 PPG 1.53
39% Win % 41%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/
31-45
2/3
46-60
/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds ARENA MRV will turn into a battlefield for CA Mineiro and EC Bahia.
  • 5' Marcos Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
  • 16' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Guilherme Arana on 16 minutes.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Alan Franco is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
  • 45' Thaciano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thaciano on 58 minute.
  • 61' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Hulk — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everaldo has done his job and it is now time for Oscar Estupinan to step up.
  • 70' Ademir Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 74' Pedrinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matias Zaracho at the 74 minute mark.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Scarpa. He receives a card.
  • 80' It’s gonna be a card for Gabriel Teixeira.
  • 82' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Caio Alexandre is replaced by Rezende.
  • 84' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Pedrinho gets a card.
  • 89' Hulk makes way for Cadu at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • 90' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro45% Draw26% EC Bahia29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
55%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro33% Draw45% EC Bahia22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.