CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | Caracas FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 May | CA Peñarol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | CA Rosario Central | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Cuiaba EC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -1 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds ARENA MRV will turn into a battlefield for CA Mineiro and EC Bahia.
- 5' Marcos Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 16' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Guilherme Arana on 16 minutes.
- 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 26' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 31' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 41' Alan Franco is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 45' Thaciano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thaciano on 58 minute.
- 61' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 62' A stunning finish from Hulk — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 65' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everaldo has done his job and it is now time for Oscar Estupinan to step up.
- 70' Ademir Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
- 74' Pedrinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matias Zaracho at the 74 minute mark.
- 77' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Scarpa. He receives a card.
- 80' It’s gonna be a card for Gabriel Teixeira.
- 82' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Caio Alexandre is replaced by Rezende.
- 84' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Pedrinho gets a card.
- 89' Hulk makes way for Cadu at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
- 90' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 22
- 6
-
10
Paulinho ↓ Alan Kardec 89'
- 13
- 21
- 26
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Pedrinho 74'
- 3
- 23
- 7
- 45
Bench
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 74'
- 17
- 16
- 4
- 25
-
11
Eduardo Vargas ↑ 74'
- 31
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 89'
-
42
Cadu ↑ 89'
- 30
- 47
Coach
Gabriel Milito
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 58'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 65'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 65'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 82'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 58'
- –
-
–
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 65'
- –
- –
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Rezende ↑ 82'
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
55%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

