CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | Caracas FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 May | CA Peñarol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | CA Rosario Central | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Cuiabá EC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 51 | Points | 53 |
| 35 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 50 |
| 40 | Conceded | 45 |
| +4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 40% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at ARENA MRV!
- 5' A quiet spell here at ARENA MRV. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gabriel Milito will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 16' Guilherme Arana is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
- 21' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 26' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' Luciano Juba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Thaciano. He receives a card.
- 50' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ademir Santos scoring 1 goals.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 58' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thaciano on 58 minute.
- 61' A moment of madness from Gabriel Xavier on 61 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 62' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hulk makes it 1-0.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Oscar Estupinan. He replaces Everaldo on 65 minute.
- 70' Goal! Ademir Santos scores his 35 goal in 161 matches.
- 74' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Matias Zaracho has done his job and it is now time for Pedrinho to step up.
- 77' Gustavo Scarpa picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriel Teixeira is booked for EC Bahia — card on 80.
- 82' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Caio Alexandre exits the field as Rezende enters on 82.
- 84' Pedrinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 89' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Hulk has done his job and it is now time for Cadu to step up.
- 90' A moment of madness from Rodrigo Battaglia on 90 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 22
- 6
-
10
Paulinho ↓ Alan Kardec 89'
- 13
- 21
- 26
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Pedrinho 74'
- 3
- 23
- 7
- 45
Bench
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 74'
- 17
- 16
- 4
- 25
-
11
Eduardo Vargas ↑ 74'
- 31
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 89'
-
42
Cadu ↑ 89'
- 30
- 47
Coach
Gabriel Milito
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 58'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 65'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 65'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 82'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 58'
- –
-
–
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 65'
- –
- –
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Rezende ↑ 82'
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
53%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

