CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | Caracas FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 May | CA Peñarol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | CA Rosario Central | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Cuiaba EC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 40 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 43 |
| 32 | Conceded | 35 |
| +4 | GD | +8 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 41% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ademir Santos scoring 1 goals.
- 16' Guilherme Arana is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
- 21' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 31' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 36' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' Everson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 238 appearances.
- 45' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 45.
- 50' Hulk, a Brazil forward, has 40 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' The crowd applauds Thaciano as he leaves the pitch. Ademir Santos steps in for EC Bahia.
- 61' Gabriel Xavier catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 62' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hulk makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 65' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everaldo by Oscar Estupinan on 65 minute.
- 70' Ademir Santos makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 74' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Matias Zaracho is replaced by Pedrinho on 74 minute.
- 77' Poor challenge from Gustavo Scarpa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 80.
- 82' EC Bahia ring the changes. Caio Alexandre has done his job and it is now time for Rezende to step up.
- 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pedrinho.
- 89' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Cadu comes on to replace Hulk.
- 90' Rodrigo Battaglia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 22
- 6
-
10
Paulinho ↓ Alan Kardec 89'
- 13
- 21
- 26
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Pedrinho 74'
- 3
- 23
- 7
- 45
Bench
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 74'
- 17
- 16
- 4
- 25
-
11
Eduardo Vargas ↑ 74'
- 31
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 89'
-
42
Cadu ↑ 89'
- 30
- 47
Coach
Gabriel Milito
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 58'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 65'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 65'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 82'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 58'
- –
-
–
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 65'
- –
- –
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Rezende ↑ 82'
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Federico Zaracho | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Bahia
54%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

