EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 34 | Points | 29 |
| 23 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 8 |
| 32 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 27 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The 36-year-old Everson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' EC Bahia currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' CA Mineiro come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 23' A moment of madness from Igor Gomes on 23 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 28' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Marcos Felipe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' CA Mineiro looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ruan scoring 1 goals.
- 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 48' With 2 assists to his name this season, Everton Ribeiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
- 51' Everaldo doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 58' What a moment for Everton Ribeiro! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 63' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bernard is hanging Igor Gomes on the field on 64 minute.
- 65' The crowd applauds Mariano as he leaves the pitch. Renzo Saravia steps in for CA Mineiro.
- 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 73' Ademir Santos is replacing Thaciano for the EC Bahia side.
- 74' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Rubens has done his job and it is now time for Alan Kardec to step up.
- 79' The whistle greets Caio Alexandre as he departs to be replaced by Rezende.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Kanu. He receives a card.
- 82' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 86' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Jean Lucas is replaced by Iago Borduchi on 86 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Deyverson on 90 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- EC Bahia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 73'
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Iago Borduchi 86'
- 10
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 74'
- 13
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 74'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 79'
- 46
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 73'
- 2
- 31
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 86'
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 74'
- 14
- 33
- 23
-
5
Rezende ↑ 79'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 74'
CA Mineiro Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Bernard 64'
- 2
- 21
-
25
Mariano ↓ Renzo Saravia 65'
- 18
- 3
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Alan Kardec 74'
- 42
- 30
Bench
- 16
-
9
Deyverson ↑ 64'
-
6
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 65'
-
20
Bernard ↑ 64'
- 4
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 65'
- 31
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 74'
- 27
- 40
- 47
- 33
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Regis | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
79%
Draw or CA Mineiro
46%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.