Saturday , 17 October 2026

Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Wed 2 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Aidan Morris
Ugo Raghouber 54' 1–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Aug Norwich City FC A 1–4 L
23 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–3 L
16 Aug West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
24 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
18 May Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Burnley FC A 1–1 D
29 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
22 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
15 Aug Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
23 May Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Burnley FC Middlesbrough FC
#21 Position #2
8 Points 21
11 Played 10
1 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 1
16 Scored 20
21 Conceded 14
-5 GD +6
0.73 PPG 2.10
9% Win % 60%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Burnley FC are 21st (8 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
–/5
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/3
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 8 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Middlesbrough FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tommy Conway made 395 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Anel Ahmedhodzic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 23' What a moment for Aidan Morris! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 28.
  • 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hjalmar Ekdal, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 38' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Aidan Morris scoring 1 goals.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for William Lankshear.
  • 44' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Largie Ramazani is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andreas Hountondji at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' The France midfielder Ugo Raghouber breaks the deadlock on 54 minutes. 1-1!
  • 59' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 61' Tommy Conway is ready to make an impact after coming on for Riley McGree at the 61 minute mark.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 71' Alfie Jones picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 71' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Zeki Amdouni is withdrawn and Aaron Ramsey gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ashley Phillips is hanging Alfie Jones on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' Burnley FC make a change. Jacob Bruun Larsen trudges off to be replaced by Armando Broja on 77 minutes.
  • 81' Burnley FC make a change. Dastan Satpayev trudges off to be replaced by Mike Tresor on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 87' David Strelec has so much to prove this time. He replaces William Lankshear on 87 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ugo Raghouber.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC37% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
63%
Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC26% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.