Middlesbrough FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
8 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Sheffield United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Watford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #22 |
| 29 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 7 / 7 |
| 30 | Scored | 22 |
| 19 | Conceded | 31 |
| +11 | GD | -9 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 53% | Win % | 7% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Burnley FC — let the battle begin!
- 3' George Edmundson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 3.
- 8' Burnley FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ugo Raghouber scoring 1 goals.
- 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Trafford, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. CJ Egan-Riley made 354 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 28' Jeremy Sarmiento is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Cullen suffering a number of foals already.
- 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 48' Josh Laurent has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Josh Cullen on 54 minutes.
- 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' Emmanuel Latte Lath has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 67' Jeremy Sarmiento has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hannibal Mejbri on 67 minute.
- 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 73' The crowd applauds Ben Doak as he leaves the pitch. Isaiah Jones steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 80' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Zian Flemming departs to be replaced by Jay Rodriguez.
- 81' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Neto Borges is replaced by Lukas Engel on 81 minute.
- 83' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 83.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Luca Koleosho. He receives a card.
- 90' Josh Brownhill makes way for Lyle Foster at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- It finishes all square. Middlesbrough FC and Burnley FC share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 15
- 25
- 4
- 9
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↓ Riley McGree 73'
-
30
Neto Borges ↓ Lukas Engel 81'
- 23
- 7
- 20
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 73'
Bench
- 5
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 73'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 73'
-
27
Lukas Engel ↑ 81'
- 14
- 41
- 17
- 49
- 38
Coach
Michael Carrick
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Josh Brownhill ↓ Lyle Foster 90'
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Jay Rodriguez 80'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Luca Koleosho 80'
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 6
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 80'
- 16
- 4
- 32
-
17
Lyle Foster ↑ 90'
- 37
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 67'
- 23
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↑ 80'
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Connor Roberts | 2 |
| Benson Manuel | 2 |
| Josh Brownhill | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Anfernee Dijksteel | 1 |
| Aidan Morris | 1 |
| Ugo Raghouber | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.01
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burnley FC
51%
Middlesbrough FC or Burnley FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

