Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Hull City AFC
1 – 0
Full Time
Middlesbrough FC
Sat 23 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Wembley 84,506 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver McBurnie 90+5' 1–0
Oliver McBurnie 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Wembley.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

6
3
6
Hull City AFC 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals Middlesbrough FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC 2025-12-05 Hull City AFC 1–4 Middlesbrough FC 2025-01-01 Hull City AFC 0–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-11-30 Middlesbrough FC 3–1 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
11 May Millwall FC A 2–0 W
09 May Millwall FC H 0–0 D
02 May Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
Middlesbrough FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Middlesbrough FC
#6 Position #5
73 Points 80
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
70 Scored 72
66 Conceded 47
+4 GD +25
1.59 PPG 1.74
46% Win % 48%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Hull City AFC gets underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Millar made 260 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Mohamed Belloumi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luke Ayling suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Middlesbrough FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Callum Brittain has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' It’s high time Sergej Jakirović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' Hull City AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Middlesbrough FC.

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Britt Assombalonga 3
Jarrod Bowen 3
Hayden Hackney 2
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh 2
Mallik Wilks 2
Emmanuel Latte Lath 2
Finn Azaz 2
Chuba Akpom 2

Head to Head

2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC 2025-12-05 Hull City AFC 1–4 Middlesbrough FC 2025-01-01 Hull City AFC 0–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-11-30 Middlesbrough FC 3–1 Hull City AFC

Hull City AFC Form

2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-05-11 Millwall FC 0–2 Hull City AFC W 2026-05-09 Hull City AFC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2026-05-02 Hull City AFC 2–1 Norwich City FC W 2026-04-25 Charlton Athletic FC 2–1 Hull City AFC L 2026-04-21 Leicester City FC 2–2 Hull City AFC D

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC D 2026-05-02 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC D 2026-04-25 Middlesbrough FC 5–1 Watford FC W 2026-04-22 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC40% Draw28% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
67%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC25% Draw48% Middlesbrough FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.