Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Wembley 84,506 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver McBurnie 90+5' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Wembley.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
11 May Millwall FC A 2–0 W
09 May Millwall FC H 0–0 D
02 May Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Wembley as Hull City AFC face off against Middlesbrough FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Hull City AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's shape.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Wembley. Hull City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Semi Ajayi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' Hull City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Middlesbrough FC have won 484 goals from 391 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Matt Targett has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kim Hellberg might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' David Strelec has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 70' Alan Browne needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Middlesbrough FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
  • 85' Hull City AFC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Oliver McBurnie.
  • Full Time. Hull City AFC beats Middlesbrough FC

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC43% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC28%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
57%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC27% Draw52% Middlesbrough FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.