Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Wembley 84,506 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver McBurnie 90+5' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
11 May Millwall FC A 2–0 W
09 May Millwall FC H 0–0 D
02 May Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Middlesbrough FC
#3 Position #10
73 Points 0
46 Played 0
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
70 Scored 0
66 Conceded 0
+4 GD +0
1.59 PPG
46% Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Hull City AFC are 3rd (73 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 10th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Wembley that hosts another battle between Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC.
  • 5' Aidan Morris has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 286 appearances.
  • 10' It’s high time Sergej Jakirović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Oliver McBurnie made 383 appearances and scored 66 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Hull City AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's shape.
  • 35' Riley McGree is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hull City AFC tonight.
  • 40' Middlesbrough FC have won 467 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hull City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' A quiet spell here at Wembley. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 70' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 75' Ivor Pandur has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 80' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 85' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kim Hellberg might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' Hull City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • With this win, Hull City AFC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.57 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC35% Draw41% Middlesbrough FC24%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 63%
37%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
77%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
59%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC15% Draw72% Middlesbrough FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
37.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
15.2%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.6%
2 – 2
0.9%
3 – 0
0.9%
0 – 3
0.6%
3 – 1
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 21% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 18% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
61%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.