Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Refresh

Championship · 2025-26

Hull City AFC

1 – 0

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Sat 23 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Wembley 84,506 HT 45' · FT 45'

Oliver McBurnie 90+5' 1–0

Oliver McBurnie 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Wembley.

Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett

5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Hull City AFC 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC 2025-12-05 Hull City AFC 1–4 Middlesbrough FC 2025-01-01 Hull City AFC 0–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-11-30 Middlesbrough FC 3–1 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–0	W
11 May	Millwall FC	A	2–0	W
09 May	Millwall FC	H	0–0	D
02 May	Norwich City FC	H	2–1	W
25 Apr	Charlton Athletic FC	A	1–2	L
21 Apr	Leicester City FC	A	2–2	D

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Hull City AFC	A	0–1	L
12 May	Southampton FC	A	1–2	L
09 May	Southampton FC	H	0–0	D
02 May	Wrexham AFC	A	2–2	D
25 Apr	Watford FC	H	5–1	W
22 Apr	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

5/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/4

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear	13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry	3 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Hull City AFC gets underway.
5' Oliver McBurnie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 68 goals in his last 396 appearances.
10' Dael Fry, a England defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hull City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
50' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
55' Hull City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
60' Middlesbrough FC is showing some good football. However, Middlesbrough FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
70' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
75' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Regan Slater made 57 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Oliver McBurnie argues furiously but the card stands.
Another three points for Hull City AFC.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergej Jakirović

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kim Hellberg

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Britt Assombalonga	3
Jarrod Bowen	3
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh	2
Mallik Wilks	2
Emmanuel Latte Lath	2
Finn Azaz	2
Chuba Akpom	2
Tommy Conway	2

Head to Head

Hull City AFC Form

2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-05-11 Millwall FC 0–2 Hull City AFC W 2026-05-09 Hull City AFC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2026-05-02 Hull City AFC 2–1 Norwich City FC W 2026-04-25 Charlton Athletic FC 2–1 Hull City AFC L 2026-04-21 Leicester City FC 2–2 Hull City AFC D

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-05-23 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC D 2026-05-02 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC D 2026-04-25 Middlesbrough FC 5–1 Watford FC W 2026-04-22 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.22 Hull City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC43% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC28%

Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.25

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw

72%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

57%

Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC27% Draw52% Middlesbrough FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

12.9%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

7.8%

2 – 0

7.6%

1 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.2%

3 – 0

1 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap	Hull City AFC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.