Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Mon 18 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kai Havertz 37' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Burnley FC H 1–0 W
10 May West Ham United FC A 1–0 W
05 May Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–0 W
02 May Fulham FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
25 Apr Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
10 May Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
01 May Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Bukayo Saka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 7 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Kyle Walker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Arsenal FC so far.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Chimuanya Ugochukwu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Lucas Pires has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' The referee calls foul for Hannibal Mejbri. He receives a card.
  • 33' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' Kai Havertz makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Arsenal FC are in front.
  • 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Arsenal FC and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 47' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 62' Arsenal FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 67' Kai Havertz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Florentino made 475 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 82' The home supporters are growing impatient. Arsenal FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Zian Flemming.
  • Full Time. Arsenal FC beats Burnley FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC64% Draw24% Burnley FC12%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Burnley FC
36%
Arsenal FC or Burnley FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC42% Draw48% Burnley FC10%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.3%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 26% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.