Sunday , 16 August 2026

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Mon 18 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kai Havertz 37' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Burnley FC H 1–0 W
10 May West Ham United FC A 1–0 W
05 May Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–0 W
02 May Fulham FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
25 Apr Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
10 May Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
01 May Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Burnley FC
#8 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Arsenal FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Arsenal FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' William Saliba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 427 appearances.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bukayo Saka, as he is very good at scoring at Emirates Stadium with 51 goals in the last 38 games.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Hannibal Mejbri on 28 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 33' Chimuanya Ugochukwu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' Magnificent from Kai Havertz! That is 115 goals in 541 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 42' Jaidon Anthony is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Arsenal FC tonight.
  • 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Arsenal FC and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 52' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 414 games and scored 725 goals.
  • 57' Riccardo Calafiori has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Arsenal FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 67' Arsenal FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
  • 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' Loum Tchaouna, a France forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 87' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. David Raya has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Zian Flemming was booked on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Arsenal FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC59% Draw32% Burnley FC9%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Burnley FC
41%
Arsenal FC or Burnley FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC31% Draw63% Burnley FC6%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
1.8%
4 – 0
1.2%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
0.9%
2 – 2
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 15% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 31% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
74%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.