Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 17 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
2
Burnley FC 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W
13 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Sheffield United FC A 2–5 L
02 Nov Rotherham United FC H 3–2 W
29 Oct Reading FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Burnley FC A 1–3 L
10 Dec Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
12 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
08 Nov Blackpool FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
01 Nov Hull City AFC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Burnley FC gets underway.
  • 5' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Darragh Lenihan made 382 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zack Steffen, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Marcus Forss is replaced by Duncan Watmore on 46 minute.
  • 49' Duncan Watmore does the damage! The net is bulging and Middlesbrough FC surge ahead!
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' That is a Yellow card for Middlesbrough FC. Zack Steffen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' The deadlock is broken! Benson Manuel gets on the scoresheet on 60 minutes.
  • 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 67' Brilliant from the ! Benson Manuel makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 67.
  • 72' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Riley McGree trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Muniz on 72 minutes.
  • 72' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Howson makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 75' Jack Cork was booked on 75.
  • 76' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Benson Manuel departs to be replaced by Ashley Barnes.
  • 81' Ian Maatsen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 86' The 24-year-old Hayden Hackney has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 87' The whistle greets Jay Rodriguez as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Bastien.
  • 89' Scott Twine is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jack Cork at the 89 minute mark.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a Red card for Connor Roberts.
  • 90' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Johann Berg Gudmundsson exits the field as Darko Churlinov enters on 90.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Darragh Lenihan on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC53% Draw24% Middlesbrough FC23%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
47%
Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC39% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.