Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Southampton FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Middlesbrough FC
Tue 12 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Riley McGree
Ross Stewart 45+1' 1–1
Shea Charles 116' 2–1
Y 13' Riley McGree
Nathan Wood-Gordon 37' Y
Y 38' Luke Ayling
Finn Azaz 56' Y
Y 78' Adilson Malanda
Y 92' Callum Brittain
Daniel Peretz 120' Y
Cyle Larin 120' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

1
3
2
Southampton FC 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals Middlesbrough FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC 2026-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC 2025-09-27 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-03-29 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
09 May Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
02 May Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
Middlesbrough FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Southampton FC Middlesbrough FC
#4 Position #5
80 Points 80
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
82 Scored 72
56 Conceded 47
+26 GD +25
1.74 PPG 1.74
48% Win % 48%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Middlesbrough FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Middlesbrough FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Riley McGree on 5.
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 4 matches with its main striker Riley McGree scoring 1 goals.
  • 13' Riley McGree is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
  • 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' Kuryu Matsuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' Ross Stewart needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nathan Wood-Gordon on 37.
  • 38' Middlesbrough FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 39' Middlesbrough FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Goal! Ross Stewart scores his 1 goal in 251 matches.
  • 51' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' Finn Azaz is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 66' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Kuryu Matsuki departs to be replaced by Flynn Downes.
  • 71' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Finn Azaz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' Alan Browne has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tommy Conway on 73 minute.
  • 78' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a card on 78.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. David Strelec is replaced by Leo Castledine on 83 minute.
  • 84' Cyle Larin is replacing Ross Stewart for the Southampton FC side.
  • 85' Another change for Southampton FC made on 85 minute. Leo Scienza leaves to be changed by Samuel Edozie.
  • 90' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 4 times this season with Middlesbrough FC winning 25% of all matches.
  • Full Time. Southampton FC beats Middlesbrough FC

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tonda Eckert

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kim Hellberg

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Adam Armstrong 2
Riley McGree 2
Jonny Howson 1
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1
Ross Stewart 1
Shea Charles 1

Head to Head

2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC 2026-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC 2025-09-27 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-03-29 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC

Southampton FC Form

2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC D 2026-05-02 Preston North End FC 1–3 Southampton FC W 2026-04-28 Southampton FC 2–2 Ipswich Town FC D 2026-04-25 Manchester City FC 2–1 Southampton FC L 2026-04-21 Southampton FC 2–2 Bristol City FC D

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-05-12 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-05-09 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC D 2026-05-02 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC D 2026-04-25 Middlesbrough FC 5–1 Watford FC W 2026-04-22 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-04-19 Ipswich Town FC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.61 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC44% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC31%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
56%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

Southampton FC30% Draw44% Middlesbrough FC26%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.