Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 12 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Riley McGree
Ross Stewart 45+1' 1–1
Shea Charles 116' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
09 May Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
02 May Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Southampton FC Middlesbrough FC
#13 Position #3
10 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 1
19 Scored 16
10 Conceded 12
+9 GD +4
1.25 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • 5' Riley McGree adds to his 1 season tally! Middlesbrough FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 13' Middlesbrough FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 13.
  • 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 23' Ryan Manning has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' That is a card for Southampton FC. Nathan Wood-Gordon will be fuming at that decision.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luke Ayling on 38.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Luke Ayling.
  • 44' It’s high time Tonda Eckert made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' A goal from the Scotland international Ross Stewart! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-1!
  • 51' A quiet spell here at . Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Finn Azaz.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' Kuryu Matsuki makes way for Flynn Downes at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Tommy Conway is replaced by Alan Browne on 73 minute.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adilson Malanda on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Leo Castledine is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Strelec at the 83 minute mark.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Ross Stewart is replaced by Cyle Larin.
  • 85' Southampton FC make a change. Leo Scienza trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Edozie on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Solomon Brynn has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • With this win, Southampton FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
2.21 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC52% Draw22% Middlesbrough FC26%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
48%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
78%

Half-Time Result

Southampton FC38% Draw38% Middlesbrough FC24%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 20% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.