Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .
- Southampton FC 15 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | Preston North End FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Southampton FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 May | Southampton FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | Wrexham AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Watford FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 29 | Scored | 30 |
| 15 | Conceded | 19 |
| +14 | GD | +11 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 4 G | 1 A |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Southampton FC and Middlesbrough FC is underway.
- 5' Riley McGree doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kim Hellberg will be considering his options from the bench.
- 13' A meaty challenge results in booking for Riley McGree on 13.
- 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 23' Alan Browne is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
- 28' It’s high time Tonda Eckert made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Nathan Wood-Gordon.
- 38' Poor challenge from Luke Ayling. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 39' Luke Ayling picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adilson Malanda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
- 46' What composure from Ross Stewart! The Scotland international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' A moment of madness from Finn Azaz on 56 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
- 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 66' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Flynn Downes is hanging Kuryu Matsuki on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' Daniel Peretz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 73' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 73 minute. Tommy Conway leaves to be changed by Alan Browne.
- 78' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a card on 78.
- 83' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. David Strelec is replaced by Leo Castledine.
- 84' Ross Stewart makes way for Cyle Larin at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Samuel Edozie. He replaces Leo Scienza on 85 minute.
- 90' Luke Ayling is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Southampton FC take all three points.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 14
- 3
-
11
Ross Stewart ↓ Cyle Larin 84'
- 41
- 6
- 10
-
20
Caspar Jander ↓ Cameron Bragg 119'
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↓ Flynn Downes 66'
-
13
Leo Scienza ↓ Samuel Edozie 85'
- 24
Bench
- 5
-
4
Flynn Downes ↑ 66'
- 25
-
9
Cyle Larin ↑ 84'
- 19
- 34
- 18
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 85'
-
48
Cameron Bragg ↑ 119'
Coach
Tonda Eckert
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 3
- 6
-
12
Luke Ayling ↓ Sontje Hansen 119'
-
8
Riley McGree ↓ Jeremy Sarmiento 106'
-
13
David Strelec ↓ Leo Castledine 83'
- 11
- 31
- 18
- 29
-
9
Tommy Conway ↓ Alan Browne 73'
Bench
-
16
Alan Browne ↑ 73'
- 25
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↑ 119'
- 22
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 106'
- 14
- 32
-
23
Leo Castledine ↑ 83'
- 15
Coach
Kim Hellberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Adam Armstrong | 2 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 |
| Shea Charles | 1 |
| Jonny Howson | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.75
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
53%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

