Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 6–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #2 |
| 10 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 22 | Scored | 30 |
| 31 | Conceded | 19 |
| -9 | GD | +11 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 7% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burnley FC and Middlesbrough FC get this one started.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Middlesbrough FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ben Doak is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
- 13' What a strike from Anfernee Dijksteel! The score is 0-1.
- 18' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 23' The 29-year-old Daniel Barlaser has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 28' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 33' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 37' What a moment for Connor Roberts! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
- 42' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 47' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Aidan Morris scoring 1 goals.
- 52' Delano Burgzorg, a Netherlands forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' Zian Flemming is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jay Rodriguez at the 61 minute mark.
- 66' Senegal international Seny Dieng has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 71' Josh Brownhill needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 72' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Tommy Conway is replaced by Emmanuel Latte Lath.
- 74' The whistle greets Luca Koleosho as he departs to be replaced by Josh Laurent.
- 77' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Delano Burgzorg trudges off to be replaced by Riley McGree on 77 minutes.
- 82' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Middlesbrough FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 89' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 89 minute. Ben Doak leaves to be changed by Isaiah Jones.
- 90' Hannibal Mejbri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↓ Zian Flemming 61'
- 14
- 24
-
16
John Egan ↓ Lucas Pires 74'
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 5
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Josh Laurent 74'
- 12
Bench
-
19
Zian Flemming ↑ 61'
- 4
- 42
- 32
- 37
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 61'
-
23
Lucas Pires ↑ 74'
- 18
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 74'
Coach
Scott Parker
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 15
- 25
- 4
- 1
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↓ Riley McGree 77'
- 30
- 7
- 20
- 22
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 89'
Bench
- 5
- 12
-
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath ↑ 72'
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 77'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 89'
- 31
- 14
- 16
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benson Manuel | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Connor Roberts | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 1 |
| Jonathan Howson | 1 |
| Josh Brownhill | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Anfernee Dijksteel | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-12-06
Burnley FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2024-11-30
Middlesbrough FC
3–1
Hull City AFC
W
2024-11-27
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
2024-11-23
Oxford United FC
2–6
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-11-09
Middlesbrough FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-11-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

