Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 6–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #3 |
| 4 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 0 / 4 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 16 |
| 17 | Conceded | 12 |
| -8 | GD | +4 |
| 0.50 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 0% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Aidan Morris scoring 1 goals.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Delano Burgzorg suffering a number of foals already.
- 13' Anfernee Dijksteel doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 18' Jay Rodriguez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 23' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 37' Connor Roberts has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 57' Emmanuel Latte Lath is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
- 61' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Jay Rodriguez by Zian Flemming on 61 minute.
- 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 71' England international Bashir Humphreys has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 72' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Tommy Conway is replaced by Emmanuel Latte Lath on 72 minute.
- 74' Burnley FC ring the changes. Luca Koleosho has done his job and it is now time for Josh Laurent to step up.
- 77' Riley McGree has so much to prove this time. He replaces Delano Burgzorg on 77 minute.
- 82' With 1 assists to his name this season, Riley McGree is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
- 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tommy Conway, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 89' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Isaiah Jones is hanging Ben Doak on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Hannibal Mejbri.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↓ Zian Flemming 61'
- 14
- 24
-
16
John Egan ↓ Lucas Pires 74'
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 5
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Josh Laurent 74'
- 12
Bench
-
19
Zian Flemming ↑ 61'
- 4
- 42
- 32
- 37
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 61'
-
23
Lucas Pires ↑ 74'
- 18
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 74'
Coach
Scott Parker
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 15
- 25
- 4
- 1
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↓ Riley McGree 77'
- 30
- 7
- 20
- 22
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 89'
Bench
- 5
- 12
-
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath ↑ 72'
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 77'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 89'
- 31
- 14
- 16
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benson Manuel | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Connor Roberts | 2 |
| Aidan Morris | 1 |
| Ugo Raghouber | 1 |
| Duncan Watmore | 1 |
| Jonathan Howson | 1 |
| Josh Brownhill | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-12-06
Burnley FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2024-11-30
Middlesbrough FC
3–1
Hull City AFC
W
2024-11-27
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
2024-11-23
Oxford United FC
2–6
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-11-09
Middlesbrough FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-11-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 20% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

