Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
EC Bahia
1 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Fonte Nova 41,387 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Jhon Arias
David Duarte 58' 1–1
1–2 88' Santiago Ramos og
Y 21' Abel Ferreira
Luciano Juba 40' Y
Y 50' Jhon Arias
Y 55' Agustin Giay
Y 85' Khellven
Y 90' Luighi Hanri
Rogerio Ceni 90' Y
Gabriel Xavier 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Casagrande (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Victor Hugo Imazu dos Santos (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Brigida Cirilo Ferreira (Brazil)
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

3
6
9
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.6 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia 2024-11-20 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W
22 Mar Clube do Remo A 1–4 L
18 Mar RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
15 Mar SC Internacional A 1–0 W
11 Mar EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr EC Bahia A 2–1 W
03 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
22 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Botafogo FR H 2–1 W
15 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia SE Palmeiras
#5 Position #1
33 Points 48
22 Played 23
8 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 6 / 3
29 Scored 40
25 Conceded 19
+4 GD +21
1.50 PPG 2.09
36% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Estadio Fonte Nova.
  • 5' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Murilo Cerqueira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 21' Abel Ferreira is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' EC Bahia are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 36' Marlon Freitas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' It’s gonna be a card for Luciano Juba.
  • 42' Goal! Jhon Arias scores his 29 goal in 387 matches.
  • 47' Jean Lucas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jhon Arias on 50 minutes.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Agustin Giay.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! David Duarte makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 60' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 60 minute. Jose Manuel Lopez leaves to be changed by Luighi Hanri.
  • 64' Felipe Anderson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Allan at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Erick on, Caio Alexandre off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Michel Araujo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everton Ribeiro at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 81' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 81 minute. Arthur Santana leaves to be changed by Khellven.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Khellven on 85 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
  • 86' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Erick departs to be replaced by Dell.
  • 88' What a strike from Santiago Ramos! The score is 2-1.
  • 90' Luighi Hanri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

SE Palmeiras Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 4
Gilberto 3
Dudu 2
Willian 2
Miguel Borja 2
Rony 2
Jhon Arias 1
Willian 1

Head to Head

2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia 2024-11-20 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2026-04-01 EC Bahia 3–0 CA Paranaense W 2026-03-22 Clube do Remo 4–1 EC Bahia L 2026-03-18 EC Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2026-03-15 SC Internacional 0–1 EC Bahia W 2026-03-11 EC Bahia 1–1 EC Vitoria D

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2026-03-22 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2026-03-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo FR W 2026-03-15 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-03-12 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 SE Palmeiras L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.07 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia30% Draw30% SE Palmeiras40%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
60%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
70%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia21% Draw50% SE Palmeiras29%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.