EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Lucas Casagrande (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Victor Hugo Imazu dos Santos (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Brigida Cirilo Ferreira (Brazil)
4 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Clube do Remo | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | RB Bragantino | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 46 | Points | 57 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 3 |
| 43 | Scored | 47 |
| 35 | Conceded | 21 |
| +8 | GD | +26 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 2.04 |
| 43% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras has kicked off!
- 5' Murilo Cerqueira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' EC Bahia currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 21' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Abel Ferreira gets a card.
- 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 36' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 42' Jhon Arias adds to his 4 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 47' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 50' Jhon Arias was booked on 50.
- 55' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Agustin Giay will be fuming at that decision.
- 58' David Duarte adds to his 3 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 60' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Jose Manuel Lopez departs to be replaced by Luighi Hanri.
- 64' Felipe Anderson is replacing Allan for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 69' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Caio Alexandre by Erick on 69 minute.
- 74' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Michel Araujo on, Everton Ribeiro off on 74 minutes.
- 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Arthur Santana by Khellven on 81 minute.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Khellven argues furiously but the card stands.
- 86' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Erick is replaced by Dell on 86 minute.
- 88' Magnificent from Santiago Ramos! That is 3 goals in 204 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 74'
- 22
-
27
Everaldo ↓ Willian Jose 69'
- 33
- 21
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↓ Erick 69'
- 46
- 5
- 16
- 99
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 69'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 69'
- 25
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 69'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 74'
- 3
- 43
- 31
-
89
Dell ↑ 86'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 15
- 8
- 1
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Lucas Evangelista 60'
- 17
- 42
- 26
-
11
Jhon Arias ↓ Ramon Sosa 60'
- 4
-
40
Allan ↓ Felipe Anderson 64'
-
56
Arthur Santana ↓ Khellven 81'
Bench
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 64'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 60'
- 14
- 3
-
12
Khellven ↑ 81'
- 32
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 60'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 60'
- 37
- 43
- 48
- 50
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Arthur Caike | 1 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
60%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
70%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.