Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
EC Bahia
1 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Fonte Nova 41,387 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Jhon Arias
David Duarte 58' 1–1
1–2 88' Santiago Ramos og
Y 21' Abel Ferreira
Luciano Juba 40' Y
Y 50' Jhon Arias
Y 55' Agustin Giay
Y 85' Khellven
Y 90' Luighi Hanri
Rogerio Ceni 90' Y
Gabriel Xavier 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Casagrande (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Victor Hugo Imazu dos Santos (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Brigida Cirilo Ferreira (Brazil)
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

3
6
9
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.6 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia 2024-11-20 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W
22 Mar Clube do Remo A 1–4 L
18 Mar RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
15 Mar SC Internacional A 1–0 W
11 Mar EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr EC Bahia A 2–1 W
03 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–1 W
22 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Botafogo FR H 2–1 W
15 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia SE Palmeiras
#6 Position #1
26 Points 41
17 Played 18
7 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 1
25 Scored 30
23 Conceded 13
+2 GD +17
1.53 PPG 2.28
41% Win % 67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Ramos made 175 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Abel Ferreira gets a card.
  • 26' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. David Duarte has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
  • 42' Goal! Jhon Arias scores his 28 goal in 386 matches.
  • 47' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 50' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Jhon Arias gets a card.
  • 55' Agustin Giay was booked on 55.
  • 58' What a strike from David Duarte! The score is 1-1.
  • 60' The whistle greets Jose Manuel Lopez as he departs to be replaced by Luighi Hanri.
  • 64' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Allan departs to be replaced by Felipe Anderson.
  • 69' Another change for EC Bahia made on 69 minute. Caio Alexandre leaves to be changed by Erick.
  • 74' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everton Ribeiro by Michel Araujo on 74 minute.
  • 79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Arthur Santana is replaced by Khellven on 81 minute.
  • 85' Khellven was booked on 85.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Dell. He replaces Erick on 86 minute.
  • 88' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Santiago Ramos on 88.
  • 90' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

SE Palmeiras Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 4
Gilberto 3
Dudu 2
Willian 2
Miguel Borja 2
Rony 2
Felipe Melo 1
Gustavo Scarpa 1

Head to Head

2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia 2024-11-20 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2026-04-01 EC Bahia 3–0 CA Paranaense W 2026-03-22 Clube do Remo 4–1 EC Bahia L 2026-03-18 EC Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2026-03-15 SC Internacional 0–1 EC Bahia W 2026-03-11 EC Bahia 1–1 EC Vitoria D

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Grêmio FBPA W 2026-03-22 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2026-03-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo FR W 2026-03-15 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-03-12 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 SE Palmeiras L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia28% Draw29% SE Palmeiras43%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
58%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
72%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia20% Draw49% SE Palmeiras31%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.