EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 41 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 25 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| +2 | GD | +17 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 41% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: SE Palmeiras gets underway.
- 5' Jose Manuel Lopez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 19' Lucas Evangelista makes way for Anibal Moreno at the 19 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 24' EC Bahia have won 348 goals from 325 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 27' Controversy at the stadium! Agustin Giay argues furiously but the card stands.
- 29' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Joaquin Piquerez by Jefte on 29 minute.
- 34' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Acevedo on 45.
- 50' Felipe Anderson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 54' Gabriel Xavier is having his name booked by the referee on 54.
- 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gilberto.
- 66' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 69' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Jose Manuel Lopez gets a card.
- 70' Willian Jose makes way for Tiago at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 74' Ramon Sosa gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Felipe Anderson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Ademir Santos doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 79' The referee has no hesitation. Ademir Santos is booked for EC Bahia — card on 79.
- 84' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Everton Ribeiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' Rezende gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Nicolas Acevedo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Mateo Sanabria exits the field as Jose Guilherme enters on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 10
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Tiago 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 70'
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 88'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Ademir Santos 70'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Jose Guilherme 90'
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
- 8
- 13
- 1
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 70'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 88'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 90'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 70'
- 70
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↓ Allan 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 74'
- 30
- 42
- 26
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↓ Jefte 29'
- 32
- 9
- 4
Bench
- 23
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 19'
- 3
- 1
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 74'
- 11
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 74'
-
6
Jefte ↑ 29'
-
40
Allan ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Felipe Melo | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
63%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
68%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.