EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 34 | Points | 48 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 14 / 6 / 3 |
| 32 | Scored | 40 |
| 28 | Conceded | 19 |
| +4 | GD | +21 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 2.09 |
| 35% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. EC Bahia get us underway at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 5' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' EC Bahia have won 352 goals from 329 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Jefte has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 403 appearances.
- 19' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Anibal Moreno comes on to replace Lucas Evangelista.
- 24' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 27' The referee has no hesitation. Agustin Giay is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 27.
- 29' The whistle greets Joaquin Piquerez as he departs to be replaced by Jefte.
- 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Weverton suffering a number of foals already.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Xavier made 329 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' Felipe Anderson, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' Nicolas Acevedo was booked on 45.
- 50' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 54' That is a card for EC Bahia. Gabriel Xavier will be fuming at that decision.
- 59' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' It’s gonna be a card for Gilberto.
- 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 69' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 70' Tiago is replacing Willian Jose for the EC Bahia side.
- 74' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Felipe Anderson is withdrawn and Ramon Sosa gets his opportunity.
- 78' Against the run of play, Ademir Santos has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ademir Santos on 79 minutes.
- 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Rezende. He replaces Nicolas Acevedo on 88 minute.
- 90' EC Bahia ring the changes. Mateo Sanabria has done his job and it is now time for Jose Guilherme to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 10
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Tiago 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 70'
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 88'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Ademir Santos 70'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Jose Guilherme 90'
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
- 8
- 13
- 1
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 70'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 88'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 90'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 70'
- 70
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↓ Allan 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 74'
- 30
- 42
- 26
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↓ Jefte 29'
- 32
- 9
- 4
Bench
- 23
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 19'
- 3
- 1
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 74'
- 11
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 74'
-
6
Jefte ↑ 29'
-
40
Allan ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
67%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.