EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 46 | Points | 57 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 3 |
| 43 | Scored | 47 |
| 35 | Conceded | 21 |
| +8 | GD | +26 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 2.04 |
| 43% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, SE Palmeiras does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's shape.
- 15' Nicolas Acevedo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
- 19' Lucas Evangelista makes way for Anibal Moreno at the 19 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Agustin Giay on 27 minutes.
- 29' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Joaquin Piquerez by Jefte on 29 minute.
- 34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Manuel Lopez suffering a number of foals already.
- 44' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Nicolas Acevedo. He receives a card.
- 50' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gabriel Xavier on 54.
- 59' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' Gilberto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luciano Juba, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jose Manuel Lopez on 69 minutes.
- 70' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Willian Jose departs to be replaced by Tiago.
- 74' Ramon Sosa is replacing Felipe Anderson for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 78' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ademir Santos on 78.
- 79' Ademir Santos was booked on 79.
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Agustin Giay made 176 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 88' Another change for EC Bahia made on 88 minute. Nicolas Acevedo leaves to be changed by Rezende.
- 90' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Jose Guilherme on, Mateo Sanabria off on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 1-0 SE Palmeiras. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 10
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Tiago 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 70'
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 88'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Ademir Santos 70'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Jose Guilherme 90'
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
- 8
- 13
- 1
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 70'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 88'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 90'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 70'
- 70
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↓ Allan 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 74'
- 30
- 42
- 26
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↓ Jefte 29'
- 32
- 9
- 4
Bench
- 23
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 19'
- 3
- 1
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 74'
- 11
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 74'
-
6
Jefte ↑ 29'
-
40
Allan ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 1 |
| Maycon | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras 69% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
65%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
67%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.