EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 53 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 50 | Scored | 62 |
| 45 | Conceded | 23 |
| +5 | GD | +39 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 41% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SE Palmeiras get us underway at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Manuel Lopez suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' SE Palmeiras make a change. Lucas Evangelista trudges off to be replaced by Anibal Moreno on 19 minutes.
- 24' Gabriel Xavier has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 342 appearances.
- 27' Agustin Giay is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 29' The whistle greets Joaquin Piquerez as he departs to be replaced by Jefte.
- 34' Uruguay international Joaquin Piquerez has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
- 39' Allan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mateo Sanabria is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Acevedo.
- 50' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Gabriel Xavier argues furiously but the card stands.
- 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 61' Gilberto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Jose Manuel Lopez will be fuming at that decision.
- 70' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Tiago on, Willian Jose off on 70 minutes.
- 74' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Ramon Sosa comes on to replace Felipe Anderson.
- 78' GOAL! Ademir Santos scores on 78. Assisted by Ronaldo
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Ademir Santos argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 88' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Nicolas Acevedo is replaced by Rezende on 88 minute.
- 90' Jose Guilherme has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateo Sanabria on 90 minute.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 10
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Tiago 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 70'
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 88'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Ademir Santos 70'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Jose Guilherme 90'
- 3
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
- 8
- 13
- 1
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 70'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 88'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 90'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 70'
- 70
- 44
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↓ Allan 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 74'
- 30
- 42
- 26
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↓ Jefte 29'
- 32
- 9
- 4
Bench
- 23
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 19'
- 3
- 1
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 74'
- 11
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 74'
-
6
Jefte ↑ 29'
-
40
Allan ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Estevao | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras 70% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
61%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
69%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.