SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 48 | Points | 33 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 14 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 40 | Scored | 29 |
| 19 | Conceded | 25 |
| +21 | GD | +4 |
| 2.09 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 61% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Parque as SE Palmeiras face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Erick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 238 appearances.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 30' Mauricio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. SE Palmeiras must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' Gustavo Gomez, a Paraguay , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Facundo Torres Perez has done his job and it is now time for Estevao to step up.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jose Manuel Lopez on 54.
- 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' The crowd applauds Mauricio as he leaves the pitch. Paulinho steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 63' Erick has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton Ribeiro on 63 minute.
- 68' Luciano Juba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 70' Another change for EC Bahia made on 70 minute. Ademir Santos leaves to be changed by Kayky.
- 75' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 80' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Emiliano Martinez comes on to replace Richard Rios.
- 82' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Caio Alexandre departs to be replaced by Nicolas Acevedo.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' Luciano Rodriguez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Vitor Roque 46'
- 5
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Estevao 46'
- 42
- 22
- 4
- 8
- 43
Bench
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 80'
-
10
Paulinho ↑ 62'
- 14
- 3
- 6
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 80'
- 34
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 46'
-
41
Estevao ↑ 46'
- 31
- 39
- 40
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Erick 63'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 70'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
8
Cauly ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 63'
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 82'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 70'
- 5
- 77
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 63'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Marco Antonio | 1 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
79%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.2%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.8%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.