SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 57 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 43 |
| 21 | Conceded | 35 |
| +26 | GD | +8 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 57% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SE Palmeiras to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. SE Palmeiras must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Argentina international Agustin Giay has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Felipe Anderson made 345 appearances and scored 44 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Erick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' SE Palmeiras currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 46' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Estevao on, Facundo Torres Perez off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Facundo Torres Perez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jose Manuel Lopez on 54 minutes.
- 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Mauricio by Paulinho on 62 minute.
- 63' Erick is replacing Everton Ribeiro for the EC Bahia side.
- 68' Mauricio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
- 70' Ademir Santos makes way for Kayky at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 75' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 80 minute. Richard Rios leaves to be changed by Emiliano Martinez.
- 82' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Acevedo is hanging Caio Alexandre on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 90' Luciano Rodriguez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- Another three points for EC Bahia.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Vitor Roque 46'
- 5
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Estevao 46'
- 42
- 22
- 4
- 8
- 43
Bench
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 80'
-
10
Paulinho ↑ 62'
- 14
- 3
- 6
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 80'
- 34
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 46'
-
41
Estevao ↑ 46'
- 31
- 39
- 40
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Erick 63'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 70'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
8
Cauly ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 63'
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 82'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 70'
- 5
- 77
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 63'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| David Duarte | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
79%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15%
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
47%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.