SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 73 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 62 | Scored | 50 |
| 23 | Conceded | 45 |
| +39 | GD | +5 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 62% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Allianz Parque will turn into a battlefield for SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia.
- 5' Jean Lucas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 402 games and scored 605 goals.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Cauly, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' The 27-year-old Luciano Juba has been sensational this season — 9 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 46 minute. Facundo Torres Perez leaves to be changed by Estevao.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 54' Jose Manuel Lopez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Paulinho. He replaces Mauricio on 62 minute.
- 63' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Everton Ribeiro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 70' Ademir Santos makes way for Kayky at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 80' Emiliano Martinez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richard Rios on 80 minute.
- 82' Caio Alexandre makes way for Nicolas Acevedo at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Luciano Rodriguez on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Vitor Roque 46'
- 5
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Estevao 46'
- 42
- 22
- 4
- 8
- 43
Bench
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 80'
-
10
Paulinho ↑ 62'
- 14
- 3
- 6
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 80'
- 34
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 46'
-
41
Estevao ↑ 46'
- 31
- 39
- 40
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Erick 63'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 70'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
8
Cauly ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 63'
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 82'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 70'
- 5
- 77
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 63'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or EC Bahia
47%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.