SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #6 |
| 41 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 12 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 30 | Scored | 25 |
| 13 | Conceded | 23 |
| +17 | GD | +2 |
| 2.28 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 67% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. SE Palmeiras host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' Ademir Santos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 30' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Duarte made 152 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Marcos Felipe, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' The crowd applauds Facundo Torres Perez as he leaves the pitch. Estevao steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 51' Jean Lucas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 54' Jose Manuel Lopez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 54.
- 59' Erick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 373 appearances.
- 62' SE Palmeiras make a change. Mauricio trudges off to be replaced by Paulinho on 62 minutes.
- 63' Everton Ribeiro makes way for Erick at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Ademir Santos exits the field as Kayky enters on 70.
- 75' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Kayky has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 80' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Richard Rios exits the field as Emiliano Martinez enters on 80.
- 82' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Nicolas Acevedo on, Caio Alexandre off on 82 minutes.
- 87' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Luciano Rodriguez.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SE Palmeiras 0-1 EC Bahia.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Vitor Roque 46'
- 5
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Estevao 46'
- 42
- 22
- 4
- 8
- 43
Bench
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 80'
-
10
Paulinho ↑ 62'
- 14
- 3
- 6
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 80'
- 34
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 46'
-
41
Estevao ↑ 46'
- 31
- 39
- 40
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Erick 63'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 70'
- 2
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
8
Cauly ↑ 63'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 63'
- 11
- 15
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 82'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 70'
- 5
- 77
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 63'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Felipe Melo | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.2%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
49%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.