EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
- Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 41 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 25 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| +2 | GD | +17 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 41% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras get this one started.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jose Manuel Lopez, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Mauricio has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 250 appearances.
- 27' Assisted by Gilberto with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Rodriguez makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vanderlan suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 41' A stunning finish from Raphael Veiga — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' Marcos Rocha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 51' Brazil international Gabriel Xavier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' Gabriel Teixeira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thaciano at the 57 minute mark.
- 62' Thaciano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
- 64' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Murilo Cerqueira has done his job and it is now time for Gustavo Gomez to step up.
- 65' The crowd applauds Caio Paulista as he leaves the pitch. Vanderlan steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 70' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
- 71' The referee has no hesitation. Marcos Rocha is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 71.
- 73' Cauly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 73 minute.
- 74' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 74.
- 77' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Felipe Anderson is replaced by Gabriel Menino on 77 minute.
- 81' Jose Manuel Lopez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raphael Veiga on 81 minute.
- 83' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everton Ribeiro by Tiago on 83 minute.
- 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' Jose Manuel Lopez adds to his 4 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 57'
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Tiago 83'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Cauly 73'
- 2
- 33
- 19
- 46
- 23
- 3
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Everaldo 73'
Bench
- 20
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 73'
- 31
- 15
- 40
- 21
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 73'
- 14
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 83'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 57'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
- 2
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Vanderlan 65'
- 9
- 5
- 18
- 26
- 44
Bench
- 8
-
15
Gustavo Gomez ↑ 64'
- 14
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 77'
- 17
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 65'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 81'
- 33
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
20
Romulo ↑ 65'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Felipe Melo | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
48%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
79%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

