EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
- Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 46 | Points | 57 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 3 |
| 43 | Scored | 47 |
| 35 | Conceded | 21 |
| +8 | GD | +26 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 2.04 |
| 43% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena Fonte Nova as EC Bahia face off against SE Palmeiras in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Caio Alexandre needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 393 games and scored 590 goals.
- 25' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 27' The Uruguay Luciano Rodriguez breaks the deadlock on 27 minutes. 1-0!
- 32' Vanderlan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 37' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' What an equalizer from Raphael Veiga!
- 46' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 57' EC Bahia ring the changes. Thaciano has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Teixeira to step up.
- 62' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Rony has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 64' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Murilo Cerqueira departs to be replaced by Gustavo Gomez.
- 65' Vanderlan gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Caio Paulista and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 71' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Marcos Rocha gets a card.
- 73' The whistle greets Ademir Santos as he departs to be replaced by Cauly.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto is booked for EC Bahia — card on 74.
- 77' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Gabriel Menino comes on to replace Felipe Anderson.
- 81' Raphael Veiga makes way for Jose Manuel Lopez at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 83' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everton Ribeiro has done his job and it is now time for Tiago to step up.
- 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' Magnificent from Jose Manuel Lopez! That is 32 goals in 168 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 57'
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Tiago 83'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Cauly 73'
- 2
- 33
- 19
- 46
- 23
- 3
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Everaldo 73'
Bench
- 20
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 73'
- 31
- 15
- 40
- 21
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 73'
- 14
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 83'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 57'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
- 2
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Vanderlan 65'
- 9
- 5
- 18
- 26
- 44
Bench
- 8
-
15
Gustavo Gomez ↑ 64'
- 14
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 77'
- 17
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 65'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 81'
- 33
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
20
Romulo ↑ 65'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Felipe Melo | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.89
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
49%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
78%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.3%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

