EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
- Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 34 | Points | 48 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 14 / 6 / 3 |
| 32 | Scored | 40 |
| 28 | Conceded | 19 |
| +4 | GD | +21 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 2.09 |
| 35% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Arena Fonte Nova that hosts another battle between EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Murilo Cerqueira is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 15' Caio Alexandre is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 27' Luciano Rodriguez does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
- 32' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 37' Felipe Anderson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 41' What composure from Raphael Veiga! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 389 games and scored 583 goals.
- 51' Gilberto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
- 56' EC Bahia have won 352 goals from 329 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Gabriel Teixeira comes on to replace Thaciano.
- 62' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 64' The whistle greets Murilo Cerqueira as he departs to be replaced by Gustavo Gomez.
- 65' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Vanderlan on, Caio Paulista off on 65 minutes.
- 70' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 71' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 73' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Ademir Santos departs to be replaced by Cauly.
- 74' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 77' SE Palmeiras make a change. Felipe Anderson trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Menino on 77 minutes.
- 81' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Raphael Veiga by Jose Manuel Lopez on 81 minute.
- 83' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tiago is hanging Everton Ribeiro on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Assisted by Vanderlan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jose Manuel Lopez makes no mistake. 1-2!
- Full Time. SE Palmeiras beats EC Bahia
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 57'
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Tiago 83'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Cauly 73'
- 2
- 33
- 19
- 46
- 23
- 3
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Everaldo 73'
Bench
- 20
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 73'
- 31
- 15
- 40
- 21
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 73'
- 14
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 83'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 57'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
- 2
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Vanderlan 65'
- 9
- 5
- 18
- 26
- 44
Bench
- 8
-
15
Gustavo Gomez ↑ 64'
- 14
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 77'
- 17
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 65'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 81'
- 33
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
20
Romulo ↑ 65'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.9
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
49%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
78%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
12%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 17% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

