EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
- Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
6 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 53 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 50 | Scored | 62 |
| 45 | Conceded | 23 |
| +5 | GD | +39 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 41% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 27' Luciano Rodriguez doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Xavier made 342 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 41' Raphael Veiga adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Romulo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Thaciano is withdrawn and Gabriel Teixeira gets his opportunity.
- 62' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Murilo Cerqueira is replaced by Gustavo Gomez on 64 minute.
- 65' SE Palmeiras make a change. Caio Paulista trudges off to be replaced by Vanderlan on 65 minutes.
- 70' EC Bahia have won 373 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 71' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 71.
- 73' Cauly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 73 minute.
- 74' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 77' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Felipe Anderson by Gabriel Menino on 77 minute.
- 81' Jose Manuel Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Veiga at the 81 minute mark.
- 83' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Tiago comes on to replace Everton Ribeiro.
- 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' Brilliant from the ! Jose Manuel Lopez makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 89.
- SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 57'
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Tiago 83'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Cauly 73'
- 2
- 33
- 19
- 46
- 23
- 3
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Everaldo 73'
Bench
- 20
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 73'
- 31
- 15
- 40
- 21
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 73'
- 14
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 83'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 57'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 21
- 2
- 7
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Vanderlan 65'
- 9
- 5
- 18
- 26
- 44
Bench
- 8
-
15
Gustavo Gomez ↑ 64'
- 14
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 77'
- 17
-
6
Vanderlan ↑ 65'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 81'
- 33
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
20
Romulo ↑ 65'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Estevao | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
46%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
80%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 2
11.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

