Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,069 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lois Openda 20' 1–0
Castello Lukeba 26' 2–0
2–1 57' Harry Kane pen
2–2 70' Leroy Sane

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
27 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
23 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
19 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–1 W
16 Sep FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
03 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
26 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 4–0 W
23 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 7–0 W
20 Sep Manchester United FC H 4–3 W
15 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
02 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#9 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Bayern München kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Min-Jae Kim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 20' Goal! Lois Openda scores his 104 goal in 351 matches.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Goal! Castello Lukeba scores his 7 goal in 424 matches.
  • 31' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' Harry Kane picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jamal Musiala, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Kingsley Coman has done his job and it is now time for Mathys Tel to step up.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Dayot Upamecano. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 53' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohamed Simakan on 53 minutes.
  • 57' The England Harry Kane breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 2-1!
  • 62' Alphonso Davies, a Canada , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 64' RB Leipzig make a change. Kevin Kampl trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Seiwald on 64 minutes.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Castello Lukeba. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 70' GOAL! Leroy Sane scores on 70. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
  • 72' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Yussuf Poulsen is replaced by Benjamin Sesko on 72 minute.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Jamal Musiala. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mathys Tel on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Fabio Carvalho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lois Openda on 86 minute.
  • 87' Maxim Choupo-Moting is replacing Jamal Musiala for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.91 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München 68% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw32% FC Bayern München34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Bayern München
66%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig20% Draw55% FC Bayern München25%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.8%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.