RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

RB Leipzig

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,069 HT 45' · FT 45'

Lois Openda 20' 1–0

Castello Lukeba 26' 2–0

2–1 57' Harry Kane pen

2–2 70' Leroy Sane

Y 38' Harry Kane

Y 45' Sven Ulreich

Y 51' Dayot Upamecano

Mohamed Simakan 53' Y

Castello Lukeba 65' Y

Y 72' Jamal Musiala

Y 81' Mathys Tel

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Marco Fritz
Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.4 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Bayern München 2023-05-20 FC Bayern München 1–3 RB Leipzig 2023-01-20 RB Leipzig 1–1 FC Bayern München 2022-02-05 FC Bayern München 3–2 RB Leipzig 2021-09-11 RB Leipzig 1–4 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	FC Bayern München	H	2–2	D
27 Sep	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–0	W
19 Sep	BSC Young Boys	A	3–1	W
16 Sep	FC Augsburg	H	3–0	W
03 Sep	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–0	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
26 Sep	SC Preussen Munster	A	4–0	W
23 Sep	VfL Bochum 1848	H	7–0	W
20 Sep	Manchester United FC	H	4–3	W
15 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
02 Sep	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		FC Bayern München
#3	Position	#1
65	Points	89
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	28 / 5 / 1
66	Scored	122
47	Conceded	36
+19	GD	+86
1.91	PPG	2.62
59%	Win %	82%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/4

31-45

4/2

46-60

6/1

61-75

3/1

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as RB Leipzig face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Benjamin Henrichs has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 422 appearances.
10' Alphonso Davies is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern München tonight.
15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamal Musiala suffering a number of foals already.
20' Lois Openda doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
25' RB Leipzig currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
26' Castello Lukeba does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
36' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
38' The referee has no hesitation. Harry Kane is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — Yellow card on 38.
43' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Sven Ulreich.
46' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Kingsley Coman is replaced by Mathys Tel on 46 minute.
51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dayot Upamecano on 51 minutes.
53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mohamed Simakan on 53.
57' A goal from the England international Harry Kane! He fires home on 57 to make it 2-1!
62' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
64' The whistle greets Kevin Kampl as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Seiwald.
65' Castello Lukeba picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
70' The Germany Leroy Sane breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 2-2!
72' The crowd applauds Yussuf Poulsen as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Sesko steps in for RB Leipzig.
72' The referee calls foul for Jamal Musiala. He receives a Yellow card.
77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
81' Controversy at the stadium! Mathys Tel argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
86' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Fabio Carvalho on, Lois Openda off on 86 minutes.
87' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maxim Choupo-Moting is hanging Jamal Musiala on the field on 87 minute.
The points are shared — RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Bayern München. Honours even.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

17
Lois Openda ↓ Fabio Carvalho 86'
21
Janis Blaswich
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↓ Lukas Klostermann 86'
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Benjamin Sesko 72'
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 72'
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 64'
22
David Raum
24
Xaver Schlager
2
Mohamed Simakan
20
Xavi Simons
23
Castello Lukeba

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Leroy Sane
9
Harry Kane
26
Sven Ulreich
6
Joshua Kimmich
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Mathys Tel 46'
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Raphael Guerreiro 46'
2
Dayot Upamecano
27
Konrad Laimer
19
Alphonso Davies
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Maxim Choupo-Moting 87'
3
Min-Jae Kim

Bench

Coach Thomas Tuchel

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	5
Leroy Sane	4
Thomas Muller	4
Jamal Musiala	3
Christopher Nkunku	3
Harry Kane	3
Benjamin Sesko	3
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2023-09-30 RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2023-09-27 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 2–3 RB Leipzig W 2023-09-23 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2023-09-19 BSC Young Boys 1–3 RB Leipzig W 2023-09-16 RB Leipzig 3–0 FC Augsburg W 2023-09-03 1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 RB Leipzig W

FC Bayern München Form

2023-09-30 RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2023-09-26 SC Preussen Munster 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2023-09-23 FC Bayern München 7–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2023-09-20 FC Bayern München 4–3 Manchester United FC W 2023-09-15 FC Bayern München 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2023-09-02 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–2 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.64 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.56 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig30% Draw22% FC Bayern München48%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

52%

Draw or FC Bayern München

70%

RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig21% Draw36% FC Bayern München43%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

7.9%

1 – 1

7.1%

1 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 3

5.4%

2 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

5.1%

1 – 4

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

0 – 1

3.6%

2 – 4

3.5%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	12%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	19%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	16%	21%
+2.5	79%	—	21%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.