Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Manchester United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 20 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 28' 1–0
Serge Gnabry 32' 2–0
2–1 49' Rasmus Hojlund
Harry Kane pen 53' 3–1
3–2 88' Casemiro
Mathys Tel 90+2' 4–2
4–3 90+5' Bruno Fernandes

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Manchester United FCChampions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 4.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
FC Bayern München 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Manchester United FC H 4–3 W
15 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
02 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
18 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 4–0 W
27 May 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Bayern München kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Manchester United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It’s high time Thomas Tuchel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Scott McTominay, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lisandro Martinez made 161 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' Goal! Leroy Sane scores his 84 goal in 436 matches.
  • 32' What an equalizer from Serge Gnabry!
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' Manchester United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 47' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Manchester United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' Goal! Rasmus Hojlund scores his 40 goal in 105 matches.
  • 53' What a strike from Harry Kane! The score is 0-4.
  • 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern München that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Lisandro Martinez.
  • 63' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kingsley Coman is hanging Serge Gnabry on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Another change for Manchester United FC made on 69 minute. Christian Eriksen leaves to be changed by Scott McTominay.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 75' Maxim Choupo-Moting has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamal Musiala on 75 minute.
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 81' Anthony Martial has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rasmus Hojlund on 81 minute.
  • 86' Manchester United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Leroy Sane is replaced by Mathys Tel.
  • 88' Goal! Casemiro scores his 38 goal in 545 matches.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Manchester United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München56% Draw20% Manchester United FC24%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester United FC
44%
FC Bayern München or Manchester United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München40% Draw36% Manchester United FC24%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 15% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 19% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
19%
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.