Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs Manchester United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 20 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 28' 1–0
Serge Gnabry 32' 2–0
2–1 49' Rasmus Hojlund
Harry Kane pen 53' 3–1
3–2 88' Casemiro
Mathys Tel 90+2' 4–2
4–3 90+5' Bruno Fernandes

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Manchester United FCChampions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
17 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 4.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
FC Bayern München 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Manchester United FC H 4–3 W
15 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
02 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
18 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 4–0 W
27 May 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 14 G 2 A
Luis Diaz 7 G 3 A
Michael Olise 5 G 6 A
Lennart Karl 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Allianz Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Bayern München and Manchester United FC.
  • 5' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' England international Harry Kane has been a key figure this campaign — 16 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' It’s high time Erik ten Hag made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' Goal! Leroy Sane scores his 85 goal in 436 matches.
  • 32' Assisted by Jamal Musiala with the perfectly-timed delivery and Serge Gnabry makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joshua Kimmich made 540 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' FC Bayern München are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 49' Rasmus Hojlund has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 53' What a strike from Harry Kane! The score is 0-4.
  • 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Lisandro Martinez. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 63' The whistle greets Serge Gnabry as he departs to be replaced by Kingsley Coman.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sven Ulreich, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 69' Another substitution for Manchester United FC to replace Christian Eriksen by Scott McTominay on 69 minute.
  • 74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Jamal Musiala by Maxim Choupo-Moting on 75 minute.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' Manchester United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anthony Martial is hanging Rasmus Hojlund on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 87' The whistle greets Leroy Sane as he departs to be replaced by Mathys Tel.
  • 88' Casemiro doubles the advantage! 0-5 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Bayern München take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München56% Draw20% Manchester United FC24%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester United FC
44%
FC Bayern München or Manchester United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München40% Draw36% Manchester United FC24%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 15% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 19% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
19%
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.