Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 15:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 51' Xavi Simons
0–2 85' Benjamin Sesko
0–3 87' Benjamin Sesko

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
26 Aug SV Darmstadt 98 A 4–1 W
20 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Aug FC Astoria Walldorf A 4–0 W
27 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
20 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
25 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 5–1 W
19 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
03 Jun Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
27 May FC Schalke 04 H 4–2 W
20 May FC Bayern München A 3–1 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin RB Leipzig
#11 Position #3
39 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
58 Conceded 47
-14 GD +19
1.15 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin30% Draw25% RB Leipzig45%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
55%
Draw or RB Leipzig
70%
1. FC Union Berlin or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin21% Draw41% RB Leipzig38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 21% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
15%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.