Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Fri 20 Jan 2023 · 19:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
12 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
09 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
05 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
02 Nov FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 4–0 W
29 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
08 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 6–1 W
05 Nov Hertha BSC A 3–2 W
01 Nov FC Internazionale Milano H 2–0 W
29 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 6–2 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#3 Position #1
65 Points 89
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
66 Scored 122
47 Conceded 36
+19 GD +86
1.91 PPG 2.62
59% Win % 82%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. RB Leipzig host FC Bayern München — let the battle begin!
  • 5' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yann Sommer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 35' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Jamal Musiala gets a Yellow card.
  • 37' Maxim Choupo-Moting has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
  • 38' Against the run of play, Maxim Choupo-Moting has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 41' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Xaver Schlager gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' Austria international Konrad Laimer has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 5 assists in the Array this season.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leon Goretzka.
  • 52' Marcel Halstenberg does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 57' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Dayot Upamecano is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — Yellow card on 66.
  • 67' Timo Werner is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emil Forsberg at the 67 minute mark.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Jamal Musiala as he leaves the pitch. Kingsley Coman steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Konrad Laimer on 71 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 81' Matthijs de Ligt needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 82' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Dani Olmo is replaced by Amadou Haidara on 82 minute.
  • 83' Thomas Muller is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 83 minute mark.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Marco Rose on 84 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 85' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Maxim Choupo-Moting trudges off to be replaced by Mathys Tel on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 90 minute. Marcel Halstenberg leaves to be changed by David Raum.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig27% Draw23% FC Bayern München50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
51%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig20% Draw38% FC Bayern München42%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.7%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 0
3.3%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 20% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 17% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
10%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.