CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 31 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 31 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 31 | 66 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 31 | 51 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 31 | 51 |
| 6 | CA Mineiro | 31 | 50 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 31 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 31 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 31 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 31 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 31 | 39 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 31 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 31 | 36 |
| 15 | CR Vasco da Gama | 30 | 35 |
| 16 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 31 | 33 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 31 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 31 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 31 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 30 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Coritiba FBC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Chapecoense AF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 53 | Points | 50 |
| 31 | Played | 31 |
| 15 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 9 |
| 49 | Scored | 42 |
| 37 | Conceded | 35 |
| +12 | GD | +7 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 48% | Win % | 45% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
26%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (53 pts). CA Mineiro are 6th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
4/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/4
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia will turn into a battlefield for CA Paranaense and CA Mineiro.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 8' Kerwin Vargas does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Paranaense surge ahead!
- 13' CA Paranaense have won 392 goals from 384 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 18' With 1 assists to his name this season, Igor Gomes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
- 23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 27' Bernard has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 27 minutes.
- 32' Tomas Perez, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 39' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 39 minute. Fred leaves to be changed by Victor Hugo Gomes.
- 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 49' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against CA Mineiro's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 54' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 59' Lucas Esquivel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 61' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Gilberto has done his job and it is now time for Claudio Henrique to step up.
- 62' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Leozinho on, Joao Victor off on 62 minutes.
- 67' A moment of madness from Tomas Cuello on 67 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 68' The crowd applauds Mamady Cisse as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Castano steps in for CA Mineiro.
- 73' Poor challenge from Tomas Perez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 74' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Castano.
- 76' CA Mineiro make a change. Bernard trudges off to be replaced by Igor Gomes on 76 minutes.
- 81' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Carlos Teran is replaced by Jorge Rivaldo.
- 86' Maycon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 90' The crowd applauds Lucas Esquivel as he leaves the pitch. Gilberto Leite steps in for CA Paranaense.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
12
Gilberto ↓ Claudio Henrique 61'
- 16
- 7
-
14
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Bruno Zapelli 81'
-
22
Carlos Teran ↓ Jorge Rivaldo 81'
-
37
Lucas Esquivel ↓ Gilberto Leite 90'
- 18
- 1
-
8
Joao Victor ↓ Leozinho 62'
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 3
- 23
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 81'
- 53
- 47
- 5
- 63
-
2
Gilberto Leite ↑ 90'
-
26
Claudio Henrique ↑ 61'
- 70
-
21
Leozinho ↑ 62'
-
19
Jorge Rivaldo ↑ 81'
Coach
Odair Hellmann
CA Mineiro Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
-
11
Bernard ↓ Igor Gomes 76'
-
7
Fred ↓ Victor Hugo Gomes 39'
- 13
-
8
Maycon ↓ Tomas Perez 68'
- 28
-
19
Reinier ↓ Thiago Borbas 76'
- 2
- 1
- 40
-
39
Mamady Cisse ↓ Kevin Castano 68'
Bench
- 3
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 76'
- 92
- 14
-
30
Victor Hugo Gomes ↑ 39'
- 5
-
18
Thiago Borbas ↑ 76'
-
25
Tomas Perez ↑ 68'
-
15
Kevin Castano ↑ 68'
- 31
- 36
Coach
Eduardo Domínguez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Roque | 4 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Federico Zaracho | 2 |
| Igor Rabello | 2 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Neto | 1 |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 1 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
70%
Draw or CA Mineiro
57%
CA Paranaense or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

