Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 27 Oct 2024 · 16:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 14,111 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–3 27' Joshua King

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Julien Aube
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Toulouse FC H 0–3 L
20 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–5 L
06 Oct Stade de Reims A 2–4 L
28 Sep AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Sep AJ Auxerre H 3–2 W
15 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Montpellier HSC A 3–0 W
20 Oct Angers SCO H 1–1 D
05 Oct Lille OSC A 1–2 L
29 Sep Olympique Lyonnais H 1–2 L
22 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L
15 Sep Le Havre AC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Montpellier HSC is hosting Toulouse FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Goal! Zakaria Aboukhlal scores his 33 goal in 436 matches.
  • 8' Goal! Zakaria Aboukhlal scores his 33 goal in 436 matches.
  • 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' Goal! Joshua King scores his 39 goal in 335 matches.
  • 32' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Montpellier HSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Arnaud Nordin.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 51' Montpellier HSC receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Cristian Casseres Jr.. He receives a card.
  • 60' The whistle greets Rabby Nzingoula as he departs to be replaced by Musa Al Taamari.
  • 61' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Wahbi Khazri by Birama Toure on 61 minute.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Joshua King is replaced by Frank Magri.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Mark McKenzie.
  • 71' The whistle greets Modibo Sagnan as he departs to be replaced by Enzo Tchato.
  • 76' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Miha Zajc is hanging Cristian Casseres Jr. on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Niklas Schmidt. He replaces Vincent Sierro on 83 minute.
  • 84' Shavy Warren Babicka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zakaria Aboukhlal on 84 minute.
  • 85' Gabriel Bares is replacing Jordan Ferri for the Montpellier HSC side.
  • 90' Charlie Cresswell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 43 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • With this win, Toulouse FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC29% Draw27% Toulouse FC44%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
56%
Draw or Toulouse FC
71%
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC21% Draw44% Toulouse FC35%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
18%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.