Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 2 Oct 2022 · 13:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Referee Aurelien Drouet
  • Referee William Toulliou
  • Referee Laurent Coniglio
  • Referee
  • Referee Christian Guillard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Montpellier HSC H 4–2 W
17 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
11 Sep Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
04 Sep Clermont Foot 63 A 0–2 L
31 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
28 Aug FC Nantes A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Toulouse FC A 2–4 L
17 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W
11 Sep Angers SCO A 1–2 L
04 Sep Lille OSC H 1–3 L
31 Aug AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
28 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 7–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC39% Draw25% Montpellier HSC36%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
61%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC29% Draw42% Montpellier HSC29%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.