Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 2 Oct 2022 · 13:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Referee Aurelien Drouet
  • Referee William Toulliou
  • Referee Laurent Coniglio
  • Referee
  • Referee Christian Guillard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Montpellier HSC H 4–2 W
17 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
11 Sep Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
04 Sep Clermont Foot 63 A 0–2 L
31 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
28 Aug FC Nantes A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Toulouse FC A 2–4 L
17 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W
11 Sep Angers SCO A 1–2 L
04 Sep Lille OSC H 1–3 L
31 Aug AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
28 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 7–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC39% Draw25% Montpellier HSC36%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
61%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC29% Draw42% Montpellier HSC29%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.