Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 – 5
5 – 4 pen
Full Time
Sat 7 Feb 2026 · 04:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Futoshi Nakamura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Kashima Antlers H 6–5 W
06 Dec Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
30 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
25 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 3–1 W
17 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb FC Tōkyō A 5–6 L
06 Dec Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–1 W
30 Nov Tokyo Verdy A 1–0 W
08 Nov Yokohama FC H 2–1 W
25 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
17 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō Kashima Antlers
#12 Position #11
37 Points 45
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 15 / 0 / 3
55 Scored 40
42 Conceded 20
+13 GD +20
2.06 PPG 2.50
72% Win % 83%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G
Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 11 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Tōkyō is hosting Kashima Antlers for another epic battle.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 6-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo41% Draw22% Kashima Antlers37%
Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
63%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
59%
FC Tokyo or Kashima Antlers
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo31% Draw35% Kashima Antlers34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
1 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 4
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
1 – 4
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 12% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.