Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stade de la Mosson 18,461 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Sepe Elye Wahi
0–2 36' Amine Harit
0–4 58' Mason Greenwood
0–5 73' Luis Henrique

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Julien Garrigues (France)
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–5 L
06 Oct Stade de Reims A 2–4 L
28 Sep AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Sep AJ Auxerre H 3–2 W
15 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–3 L
31 Aug FC Nantes H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Montpellier HSC A 5–0 W
04 Oct Angers SCO H 1–1 D
29 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–1 L
22 Sep Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
14 Sep OGC Nice H 2–0 W
31 Aug Toulouse FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC21% Draw24% Olympique de Marseille55%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
45%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
79%
Montpellier HSC or Olympique de Marseille
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC17% Draw41% Olympique de Marseille42%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 22% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
13%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.