Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Edwards
- Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
- Assistant 2 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Reading FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Port Vale FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Barnsley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Exeter City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Mar | Barnsley FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Mar | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Bolton Wanderers FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Bolton Wanderers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 20' The travelling Bolton Wanderers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 21' Korey Smith gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Dwight Gayle and will look to change the dynamic.
- 26' Joel Coleman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 329 appearances.
- 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eoin Toal.
- 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 38' Bolton Wanderers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' Nathanael Ogbeta is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bolton Wanderers FC tonight.
- 46' Derby County FC make a change. Joe Ward trudges off to be replaced by Kane Wilson on 46 minutes.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Dwight Gayle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 10 Yellow cards this season.
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
- 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 77' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Callum Elder on, Louie Sibley off on 77 minutes.
- 78' Kane Wilson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
- 80' Randell Williams is replacing Nathanael Ogbeta for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
- 84' Kyle Dempsey gets the nod from Bolton Wanderers FC. He replaces Edmond-Paris Maghoma and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
- It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Dwight Gayle ↓ Korey Smith 21'
- 3
- 11
- 4
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Kane Wilson 46'
- 32
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Callum Elder 77'
- 6
- 7
- 1
Bench
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 21'
- 10
- 27
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 46'
- 13
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 77'
- 16
Coach
Paul Warne
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 13
- 28
- 18
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Aaron Morley 84'
- 19
- 17
- 12
- 5
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↓ Cameron Jerome 77'
Bench
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 84'
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 84'
-
27
Randell Williams ↑ 80'
- 3
- 40
-
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 77'
- 15
Coach
Ian Evatt
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mason Mount | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Kieran Sadlier | 1 |
| Dion Charles | 1 |
| Kane Wilson | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Bryson | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2024-03-16
Derby County FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2024-03-12
Bolton Wanderers FC
5–0
Oxford United FC
W
2024-03-09
Exeter City FC
2–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2024-03-05
Barnsley FC
2–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2024-03-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2024-02-27
Wigan Athletic FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
49%
Derby County FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Bolton Wanderers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.