Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,538 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kane Wilson 78' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Edwards
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
  • Assistant 2 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Derby County FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Oxford United FC H 5–0 W
09 Mar Exeter City FC A 2–2 D
05 Mar Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
02 Mar Cambridge United FC H 2–0 W
27 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC get this one started.
  • 5' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bolton Wanderers FC's shape.
  • 21' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Dwight Gayle is replaced by Korey Smith on 21 minute.
  • 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eoin Toal.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Kane Wilson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Ward on 46 minute.
  • 51' Cameron Jerome, a Grenada , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 56' Bolton Wanderers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is booked for Derby County FC — card on 59.
  • 64' Bolton Wanderers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Craig Forsyth is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 77' Derby County FC ring the changes. Louie Sibley has done his job and it is now time for Callum Elder to step up.
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Kane Wilson gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Randell Williams comes on to replace Nathanael Ogbeta.
  • 84' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Edmond-Paris Maghoma is withdrawn and Kyle Dempsey gets his opportunity.
  • 89' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Bolton Wanderers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC51% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
49%
Derby County FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw49% Bolton Wanderers FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.