Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48 2 Adelaide United FC 26 43 3 Auckland FC 26 42 4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40 5 Sydney FC 26 39 6 Melbourne City FC 26 38 7 Macarthur FC 26 34 8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33 9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32 10 Perth Glory FC 26 31 11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26 12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 Jan Melbourne Victory FC H 2–1 W 11 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–2 D 04 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–4 L 27 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 3–2 W 20 Dec Perth Glory FC A 1–0 W 13 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 1–2 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 Jan Adelaide United FC A 1–2 L 10 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L 02 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–2 W 29 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC H 5–1 W 20 Dec Melbourne City FC A 1–0 W 13 Dec Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W Season Stats
Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC #2 Position #4 43 Points 40 26 Played 26 12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8 46 Scored 44 36 Conceded 33 +10 GD +11 1.65 PPG 1.54 46% Win % 42% Key Stats
63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this seasonAdelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC0-15–/116-301/231-45–/146-60–/261-754/–76+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededMelbourne Victory FC0-15–/–16-301/131-452/146-601/–61-751/–76+1/3■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FCLuka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A Melbourne Victory FCNikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A Clarismario 6 G Mata 5 G 12 A Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A -
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
- With this win, Adelaide United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Bruno Fornaroli 6 Marco Rojas 4 Craig Goodwin 4 Stefan Mauk 3 Besart Berisha 3 Hiroshi Ibusuki 3 Nikolaos Vergos 2 Riley McGree 2 Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC D 2026-01-04 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2025-12-27 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-12-20 Perth Glory FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC W 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC LMelbourne Victory FC Form
2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-01-02 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Perth Glory FC W 2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-12-20 Melbourne City FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.77 Adelaide United FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.78 Melbourne Victory FC xGI would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 69%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.55Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 87% 13% ± 2.5 68% 32% ± 3.5 47% 53% ± 4.5 29% 71% Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw 65%Draw or Melbourne Victory FC 59%Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 9.9%1 – 2 7.8%2 – 1 Actual2 – 2 6.8%0 – 2 4.6%1 – 3 4.6%2 – 0 4.6%3 – 1 4.6%0 – 1 4.5%1 – 0 4.5%0 – 0 4.2%2 – 3 4.1%Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers -2.5 9% — 91% -2 9% 11% 80% -1.5 20% — 80% -1 20% 18% 62% -0.5 38% — 62% +0.5 62% — 38% +1 62% 18% 20% +1.5 80% — 20% +2 80% 12% 9% +2.5 91% — 9% Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.