1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 4

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dominik Kohr 20' Y

Y 33' Konrad Laimer

Y 90' Michael Olise

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Petersen

3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	3–4	L
19 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	SC Freiburg	H	0–1	L
04 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–0	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	4–3	W
22 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	2–0	W
19 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	4–2	W
15 Apr	Real Madrid CF	H	4–3	W
11 Apr	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	5–0	W
07 Apr	Real Madrid CF	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		FC Bayern München
#6	Position	#2
7	Points	10
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
10	Scored	14
6	Conceded	2
+4	GD	+12
1.75	PPG	2.50
50%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host FC Bayern München — let the battle begin!
5' Luis Diaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
10' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' Dominik Kohr is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
25' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
29' A stunning finish from Paul Nebel — that came from absolutely nowhere!
33' Controversy at the stadium! Konrad Laimer argues furiously but the card stands.
38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
43' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
46' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harry Kane is hanging Aleksandar Pavlovic on the field on 46 minute.
47' Brilliant from the ! Sheraldo Becker makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 45.
52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
53' Brilliant from the forward! Nicolas Jackson makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 53.
57' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Raphael Guerreiro is withdrawn and Jamal Musiala gets his opportunity.
62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
67' Kaishu Sano, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
71' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Armindo Sieb on, Sheraldo Becker off on 71 minutes.
73' Assisted by Konrad Laimer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michael Olise makes no mistake. 3-2!
77' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Bara Sapoko Ndiaye trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Tah on 77 minutes.
79' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 79 minute. Nadiem Amiri leaves to be changed by Lennart Maloney.
80' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 3-3!
80' Anthony Caci is replacing Silvan Widmer for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
83' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
85' The crowd applauds Dominik Kohr as he leaves the pitch. Nelson Weiper steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
90' Michael Olise is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

Starting XI

8
Leon Goretzka
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Jamal Musiala 57'
27
Konrad Laimer
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Michael Olise 46'
19
Alphonso Davies ↓ Josip Stanisic 57'
21
Hiroki Ito
3
Min-Jae Kim
40
Jonas Urbig
11
Nicolas Jackson
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic ↓ Harry Kane 46'
39
Bara Ndiaye ↓ Jonathan Tah 77'

Bench

9
Harry Kane ↑ 46'
1
Manuel Neuer
4
Jonathan Tah ↑ 77'
17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 57'
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 57'
34
Deniz Ofli
43
Filip Pavic
33
Bastian Assomo

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Kingsley Coman	5
Harry Kane	5
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-19 FC Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2026-04-15 FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid CF L 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-07 Real Madrid CF 1–2 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.78 FC Bayern Munchen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw20% FC Bayern Munchen62%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

38%

Draw or FC Bayern Munchen

82%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0513% Draw34% FC Bayern Munchen53%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 2

8.6%

0 – 2

7.9%

1 – 3

7.8%

1 – 1

7.1%

0 – 3

1 – 4

5.4%

0 – 1

5.4%

0 – 4

4.8%

2 – 2

4.8%

2 – 3

4.4%

2 – 1

3.6%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	8%	87%
-0.5	13%	—	87%
+0.5	30%	—	70%
+1	30%	20%	50%
+1.5	50%	—	50%
+2	50%	20%	31%
+2.5	69%	—	31%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.