Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Ble.
- Stade Brestois 29 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florent Batta
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Toulouse FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | SK Sturm Graz | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Racing Club de Lens | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Olympique de Marseille | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Le Havre AC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Olympique de Marseille | H | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | FC Nantes | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Stade Brestois 29 | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 4 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 14 |
| +6 | GD | +1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 40% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Stade Brestois 29 this season
Stade Brestois 29 this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (15 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stade Brestois 29
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stade Brestois 29
| Ludovic Ajorque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Kamory Doumbia | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mama Balde | 2 G | 1 A |
| Pathe Mboup | 2 G | 1 A |
| Romain Del Castillo | 1 G |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stade Francis-Le Ble that hosts another battle between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse FC.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Stade Brestois 29 is showing some good football. However, Stade Brestois 29 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 19' Cristian Casseres Jr. was booked on 19.
- 21' Assisted by Mathias Pereira Lage with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mama Balde makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 34' Mathias Pereira Lage has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
- 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stade Brestois 29 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 49' Rasmus Nicolaisen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stade Brestois 29 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jonas Martin made 372 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 64' Miha Zajc has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristian Casseres Jr. on 64 minute.
- 66' A change in the Stade Brestois 29 ranks — Ibrahim Salah exits the field as Abdallah Sima enters on 66.
- 71' Jaydee Canvot is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
- 74' The crowd applauds Jonas Martin as he leaves the pitch. Mahdi Camara steps in for Stade Brestois 29.
- 78' The crowd applauds Charlie Cresswell as he leaves the pitch. Frank Magri steps in for Toulouse FC.
- 82' Massadio Haidara makes way for Jordan Amavi at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stade Brestois 29.
- 86' Jaydee Canvot gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Umit Akdag and will look to change the dynamic.
- Toulouse FC will have plenty to reflect on. Stade Brestois 29 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29 Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 40
-
28
Jonas Martin ↓ Mahdi Camara 74'
- 8
- 26
-
22
Massadio Haidara ↓ Jordan Amavi 82'
-
14
Mama Balde ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 66'
- 25
-
9
Kamory Doumbia ↓ Romain Faivre 66'
-
34
Ibrahim Salah ↓ Abdallah Sima 66'
- 3
- 12
Bench
-
21
Romain Faivre ↑ 66'
-
19
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 66'
- 7
-
45
Mahdi Camara ↑ 74'
-
23
Jordan Amavi ↑ 82'
- 30
- 5
-
17
Abdallah Sima ↑ 66'
- 44
Coach
Eric Roy
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 10
- 8
- 23
- 2
-
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ Joshua King 64'
-
4
Charlie Cresswell ↓ Frank Magri 78'
- 50
-
17
Gabriel Suazo ↓ Aron Donnum 64'
- 80
-
6
Umit Akdag ↓ Jaydee Canvot 86'
Bench
-
13
Joshua King ↑ 64'
- 5
- 20
-
21
Miha Zajc ↑ 64'
- 30
-
9
Frank Magri ↑ 78'
- 12
-
15
Aron Donnum ↑ 64'
-
29
Jaydee Canvot ↑ 86'
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steve Mounie | 4 |
| Mahdi Camara | 3 |
| Gaetan Charbonnier | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 2 |
| Kamory Doumbia | 2 |
| Jeremy Le Douaron | 2 |
| Bafode Diakite | 2 |
| Martin Satriano | 1 |
Head to Head
Stade Brestois 29 Form
2024-09-22
Stade Brestois 29
2–0
Toulouse FC
W
2024-09-19
Stade Brestois 29
2–1
SK Sturm Graz
W
2024-09-14
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Stade Brestois 29
L
2024-08-31
Stade Brestois 29
4–0
AS Saint-Étienne
W
2024-08-25
Racing Club de Lens
2–0
Stade Brestois 29
L
2024-08-17
Stade Brestois 29
1–5
Olympique de Marseille
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2
Stade Brestois 29 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Stade Brestois 29 to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stade Brestois 29 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Stade Brestois 29 or Draw
83%
Draw or Toulouse FC
39%
Stade Brestois 29 or Toulouse FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stade Brestois 29 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Stade Brestois 29
| Handicap | Stade Brestois 29 covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.