Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
2 – 1
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stade Pierre-Mauroy 36,947 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 39' Zakaria Aboukhlal
Angel Gomes 57' 1–1
Mitchel Bakker 72' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Gwenael Pasqualotti
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
28 Sep Le Havre AC A 3–0 W
21 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–3 D
17 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
13 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Lille OSC A 1–2 L
29 Sep Olympique Lyonnais H 1–2 L
22 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L
15 Sep Le Havre AC H 2–0 W
31 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–3 L
25 Aug OGC Nice A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Lille OSC Toulouse FC
#4 Position #13
10 Points 5
5 Played 5
3 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
8 Scored 7
4 Conceded 9
+4 GD -2
2.00 PPG 1.00
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Lille OSC are 4th (10 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stade Pierre-Mauroy!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 8' Andre Gomes was booked on 8.
  • 13' Jonathan David has been relatively quiet despite scoring 155 goals in his last 303 appearances.
  • 15' It’s gonna be a card for Alexsandro Ribeiro.
  • 20' The 27-year-old Edon Zhegrova has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Djibril Sidibe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' Lille OSC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ayase Ueda scoring 1 goals.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 423 games and scored 406 goals.
  • 39' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zakaria Aboukhlal makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 44' Djibril Sidibe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
  • 46' Andre Gomes makes way for Ayyoub Bouaddi at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Lille OSC.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mark McKenzie made 293 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' Angel Gomes does the damage! The net is bulging and Lille OSC surge ahead!
  • 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Joshua King is replaced by Frank Magri.
  • 66' Matias Fernandez-Pardo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Osame Sahraoui on 66 minute.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Lille OSC. Gabriel Gudmundsson is replaced by Mitchel Bakker.
  • 72' Sensational shot from Mitchel Bakker. Lille OSC is back in the lead.
  • 76' Charlie Cresswell is replacing Djibril Sidibe for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 81' Remy Cabella is replacing Edon Zhegrova for the Lille OSC side.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Rasmus Nicolaisen is replaced by Warren Kamanzi on 84 minute.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Frank Magri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 2-1 the final result. Toulouse FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC62% Draw22% Toulouse FC16%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or Toulouse FC
38%
Lille OSC or Toulouse FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC45% Draw42% Toulouse FC13%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.