Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stade Pierre-Mauroy 36,947 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 39' Zakaria Aboukhlal
Angel Gomes 57' 1–1
Mitchel Bakker 72' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Gwenael Pasqualotti
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
28 Sep Le Havre AC A 3–0 W
21 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–3 D
17 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
13 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Lille OSC A 1–2 L
29 Sep Olympique Lyonnais H 1–2 L
22 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L
15 Sep Le Havre AC H 2–0 W
31 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–3 L
25 Aug OGC Nice A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Lille OSC Toulouse FC
#5 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.91 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC47% Draw34% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
82%
Draw or Toulouse FC
53%
Lille OSC or Toulouse FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC25% Draw63% Toulouse FC12%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.2%
1 – 0
20%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 26% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
59%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.