Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
Akor Adams 13' 1–0
Khalil Fayad 63' 2–0
Akor Adams 72' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Philippe Jeanne
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Drouet

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Toulouse FC H 3–0 W
22 Oct FC Nantes A 0–2 L
01 Oct FC Lorient A 3–0 W
24 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–0 D
17 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
03 Sep Lille OSC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Montpellier HSC A 0–3 L
26 Oct Liverpool FC A 1–5 L
22 Oct Stade de Reims H 1–1 D
08 Oct Stade Brestois 29 A 1–1 D
05 Oct LASK Linz H 1–0 W
01 Oct FC Metz H 3–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Montpellier HSC is hosting Toulouse FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Montpellier HSC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Toulouse FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 13' The deadlock is broken! Akor Adams gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Montpellier HSC have won 379 goals from 417 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 23' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Toulouse FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Montpellier HSC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
  • 34' Gabriel Suazo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 34.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Frank Magri on 38 minutes.
  • 43' Toulouse FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 45' That is a Yellow card for Montpellier HSC. Boubacar Kouyate will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' The Toulouse FC bench stirs into life. Cristian Casseres Jr. is withdrawn and Aron Donnum gets his opportunity.
  • 63' What a moment for Khalil Fayad! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 64' Against the run of play, Khalil Fayad has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Niklas Schmidt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Niklas Schmidt on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Yanis Begraoui is replaced by Thijs Dallinga.
  • 71' Warren Kamanzi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikkel Desler at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' Akor Adams with the second goal in the match!
  • 75' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Khalil Fayad is replaced by Wahbi Khazri on 75 minute.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Mamady Bangre comes on to replace Gabriel Suazo.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Montpellier HSCLeo Leroy on, Joris Chotard off on 83 minutes.
  • 84' Montpellier HSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kelvin Yeboah is hanging Musa Al Taamari on the field on 84 minute.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Maxime Esteve is replaced by Christopher Jullien.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Montpellier HSC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC57% Draw24% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
43%
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC42% Draw44% Toulouse FC14%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
41%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.