Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
Akor Adams 13' 1–0
Khalil Fayad 63' 2–0
Akor Adams 72' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Philippe Jeanne
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Drouet

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Toulouse FC H 3–0 W
22 Oct FC Nantes A 0–2 L
01 Oct FC Lorient A 3–0 W
24 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–0 D
17 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
03 Sep Lille OSC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Montpellier HSC A 0–3 L
26 Oct Liverpool FC A 1–5 L
22 Oct Stade de Reims H 1–1 D
08 Oct Stade Brestois 29 A 1–1 D
05 Oct LASK Linz H 1–0 W
01 Oct FC Metz H 3–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC57% Draw24% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
43%
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC42% Draw44% Toulouse FC14%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
41%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.