Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
Akor Adams 13' 1–0
Khalil Fayad 63' 2–0
Akor Adams 72' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Philippe Jeanne
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Drouet

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Toulouse FC H 3–0 W
22 Oct FC Nantes A 0–2 L
01 Oct FC Lorient A 3–0 W
24 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–0 D
17 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D
03 Sep Lille OSC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Montpellier HSC A 0–3 L
26 Oct Liverpool FC A 1–5 L
22 Oct Stade de Reims H 1–1 D
08 Oct Stade Brestois 29 A 1–1 D
05 Oct LASK Linz H 1–0 W
01 Oct FC Metz H 3–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Montpellier HSC host Toulouse FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carles Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Yanis Begraoui, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 13' Akor Adams doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 18' Montpellier HSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 23' Montpellier HSC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toulouse FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Montpellier HSC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' Controversy at the stadium! Khalil Fayad argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 34' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Suazo on 34 minutes.
  • 38' Frank Magri was booked on 38.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Boubacar Kouyate picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Stijn Spierings made 197 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Aron Donnum is replacing Cristian Casseres Jr. for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Khalil Fayad makes it 2-0.
  • 64' Goal! Khalil Fayad scores his 4 goal in 421 matches.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Niklas Schmidt on 64 minutes.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Niklas Schmidt on 65.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Thijs Dallinga. He replaces Yanis Begraoui on 70 minute.
  • 71' Warren Kamanzi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mikkel Desler on 71 minute.
  • 72' GOAL! Akor Adams fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 75' A change in the Montpellier HSC ranks — Khalil Fayad exits the field as Wahbi Khazri enters on 75.
  • 80' Mamady Bangre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Suazo at the 80 minute mark.
  • 83' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 83 minute. Joris Chotard leaves to be changed by Leo Leroy.
  • 84' The whistle greets Musa Al Taamari as he departs to be replaced by Kelvin Yeboah.
  • 86' A change in the Montpellier HSC ranks — Maxime Esteve exits the field as Christopher Jullien enters on 86.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC57% Draw24% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
43%
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC42% Draw44% Toulouse FC14%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.