Thursday , 5 November 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Salford City FC, FA Cup 2026 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2026
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Salford City FC — FA Cup at Brunton Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Blackpool FC A 1–4 L
01 Nov Reading FC A 3–2 W
02 Nov Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
27 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Manchester City FC A 0–2 L
20 Jan Swindon Town FC H 3–2 W
05 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 4–0 W
01 Nov Lincoln City FC H 5–3 W
11 Jan Manchester City FC A 0–8 L
30 Nov Cheltenham Town FC H 2–0 W

Predictions

1.7 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Salford City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Carlisle United FC47% Draw27% Salford City FC26%

Both Teams to Score

Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Salford City FC
53%
Carlisle United FC or Salford City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

Carlisle United FC36% Draw45% Salford City FC19%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Salford City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Salford City FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.