Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Manchester United FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Aston Villa FC

Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Manchester United FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Aston Villa FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Taylor

11 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Manchester United FC 14 games · Avg 2.9 goals Aston Villa FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-15 Manchester United FC 3–1 Aston Villa FC 2025-12-21 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Manchester United FC 2025-05-25 Manchester United FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC 2024-10-06 Aston Villa FC 0–0 Manchester United FC 2024-02-11 Aston Villa FC 1–2 Manchester United FC

Recent Form

Manchester United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Aston Villa FC	H	3–1	W
04 Mar	Newcastle United FC	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	Crystal Palace FC	H	2–1	W
23 Feb	Everton FC	A	1–0	W
10 Feb	West Ham United FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	2–0	W

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Manchester United FC	A	1–3	L
12 Mar	Lille OSC	A	1–0	W
04 Mar	Chelsea FC	H	1–4	L
27 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	0–2	L
21 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Manchester United FC		Aston Villa FC
#12	Position	#16
5	Points	4
5	Played	5
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 3
8	Scored	4
8	Conceded	9
+0	GD	-5
1.00	PPG	0.80
20%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Manchester United FC are 12th (5 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester United FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Aston Villa FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC

Bruno Fernandes	3 G	1 A
Bryan Mbeumo	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Manchester United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Aston Villa FC.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Manchester United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fernandes	6
Mason Greenwood	2
Bertrand Traore	2
Rasmus Hojlund	2
Alejandro Garnacho	2
Jacob Ramsey	2
Luke Shaw	1
Leander Dendoncker	1

Head to Head

Manchester United FC Form

2026-03-15 Manchester United FC 3–1 Aston Villa FC W 2026-03-04 Newcastle United FC 2–1 Manchester United FC L 2026-03-01 Manchester United FC 2–1 Crystal Palace FC W 2026-02-23 Everton FC 0–1 Manchester United FC W 2026-02-10 West Ham United FC 1–1 Manchester United FC D 2026-02-07 Manchester United FC 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W

Aston Villa FC Form

2026-03-15 Manchester United FC 3–1 Aston Villa FC L 2026-03-12 Lille OSC 0–1 Aston Villa FC W 2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-27 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2026-02-21 Aston Villa FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2026-02-14 Aston Villa FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.16 Manchester United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.84 Aston Villa FC xG

I would bet for: Manchester United FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Manchester United FC66% Draw21% Aston Villa FC13%

Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw

86%

Draw or Aston Villa FC

34%

Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Manchester United FC47% Draw41% Aston Villa FC12%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

10.2%

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

9.4%

3 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

6.6%

4 – 0

4.4%

2 – 2

3.9%

4 – 1

3.7%

1 – 2

3.6%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap	Manchester United FC covers	Push	Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	20%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	23%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.