Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2023-24

Toulouse FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Montpellier HSC

Fri 3 May 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 27' Teji Savanier

Thijs Dallinga 34' 1–1

1–2 81' Khalil Fayad

Y 26' Teji Savanier

Y 44' Leo Leroy

Rasmus Nicolaisen 54' Y

Moussa Diarra 60' Y

R 65' Teji Savanier

Rasmus Nicolaisen 83' YR

Y 90' Yann Karamoh

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marc Bollengier
Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
Assistant 2 Erwan Finjean

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Montpellier HSC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC 2022-10-02 Toulouse FC 4–2 Montpellier HSC 2019-11-10 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Montpellier HSC	H	1–2	L
28 Apr	FC Lorient	A	2–1	W
21 Apr	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–2	D
13 Apr	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	2–1	W
07 Apr	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	0–0	D
31 Mar	Clermont Foot 63	A	3–0	W

Montpellier HSC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Toulouse FC	A	2–1	W
26 Apr	FC Nantes	H	1–1	D
21 Apr	Stade de Reims	A	2–1	W
14 Apr	Clermont Foot 63	A	1–1	D
07 Apr	FC Lorient	H	2–0	W
31 Mar	Le Havre AC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Toulouse FC welcome Montpellier HSC for this crunch clash at Stadium Municipal.
5' Montpellier HSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Toulouse FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Montpellier HSC backline.
15' Toulouse FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' Khalil Fayad has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 417 appearances.
25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
26' Poor challenge from Teji Savanier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
27' Magnificent from Teji Savanier! That is 48 goals in 340 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dimitry Bertaud, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium Municipal with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
34' What a moment for Thijs Dallinga! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
44' Leo Leroy was booked on 44.
49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
53' Musa Al Taamari makes way for Yann Karamoh at the 53 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
54' Controversy at the stadium! Rasmus Nicolaisen argues furiously but the card stands.
59' Becir Omeragic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
60' A moment of madness from Moussa Diarra on 60 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
62' The supporters are chanting for Shavy Warren Babicka. He replaces Zakaria Aboukhlal on 62 minute.
65' That looks like a foul for a card for Teji Savanier.
67' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Akor Adams is replaced by Khalil Fayad.
68' The crowd applauds Leo Leroy as he leaves the pitch. Jordan Ferri steps in for Montpellier HSC.
70' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Gabriel Suazo on, Moussa Diarra off on 70 minutes.
75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
80' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Stijn Spierings comes on to replace Niklas Schmidt.
81' A stunning finish from Khalil Fayad — that came from absolutely nowhere!
81' Toulouse FC make a change. Cristian Casseres Jr. trudges off to be replaced by Ibrahim Cissoko on 81 minutes.
83' The referee has no hesitation. Rasmus Nicolaisen is booked for Toulouse FC — card on 83.
88' Montpellier HSC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
90' The referee shows Montpellier HSC player a card on 90.
90' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Boubacar Kouyate by Modibo Sagnan on 90 minute.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

37
Yann Gboho
8
Vincent Sierro
20
Niklas Schmidt ↓ Stijn Spierings 80'
24
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↓ Ibrahim Cissoko 81'
9
Thijs Dallinga
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ Shavy Warren Babicka 62'
23
Moussa Diarra ↓ Gabriel Suazo 70'
3
Mikkel Desler ↓ Warren Kamanzi 62'
6
Logan Costa
50
Guillaume Restes

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

Montpellier HSC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michel Der Zakarian

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zakaria Aboukhlal	3
Teji Savanier	2
Chaibi Fares	2
Gaetan Laborde	2
Sepe Elye Wahi	2
Thijs Dallinga	2
Akor Adams	2
Khalil Fayad	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D 2024-04-13 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2024-04-07 Toulouse FC 0–0 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2024-03-31 Clermont Foot 63 0–3 Toulouse FC W

Montpellier HSC Form

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2024-04-26 Montpellier HSC 1–1 FC Nantes D 2024-04-21 Stade de Reims 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2024-04-14 Clermont Foot 63 1–1 Montpellier HSC D 2024-04-07 Montpellier HSC 2–0 FC Lorient W 2024-03-31 Le Havre AC 0–2 Montpellier HSC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.23 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Montpellier HSC xG

I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC31% Draw29% Montpellier HSC40%

Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Montpellier HSC

69%

Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC23% Draw47% Montpellier HSC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

0 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

8.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

0 – 2

7.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.