Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2023-24

Toulouse FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Montpellier HSC

Fri 3 May 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 27' Teji Savanier

Thijs Dallinga 34' 1–1

1–2 81' Khalil Fayad

Y 26' Teji Savanier

Y 44' Leo Leroy

Rasmus Nicolaisen 54' Y

Moussa Diarra 60' Y

R 65' Teji Savanier

Rasmus Nicolaisen 83' YR

Y 90' Yann Karamoh

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marc Bollengier
Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
Assistant 2 Erwan Finjean

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Montpellier HSC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC 2022-10-02 Toulouse FC 4–2 Montpellier HSC 2019-11-10 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Montpellier HSC	H	1–2	L
28 Apr	FC Lorient	A	2–1	W
21 Apr	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–2	D
13 Apr	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	2–1	W
07 Apr	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	0–0	D
31 Mar	Clermont Foot 63	A	3–0	W

Montpellier HSC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Toulouse FC	A	2–1	W
26 Apr	FC Nantes	H	1–1	D
21 Apr	Stade de Reims	A	2–1	W
14 Apr	Clermont Foot 63	A	1–1	D
07 Apr	FC Lorient	H	2–0	W
31 Mar	Le Havre AC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	3 G
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	1 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC has kicked off!
5' Montpellier HSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Yann Gboho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
15' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Montpellier HSC's 5-3-2 shape.
20' It’s high time Michel Der Zakarian made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
25' Cristian Casseres Jr. is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Montpellier HSC so far.
26' It’s gonna be a card for Teji Savanier.
27' GOAL! Teji Savanier scores on 27. Assisted by Issiaga Sylla
32' Netherlands international Thijs Dallinga has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
34' GOAL! Thijs Dallinga scores on 34. Assisted by Cristian Casseres Jr.
39' Moussa Diarra has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
44' That looks like a foul for a card for Leo Leroy.
49' Montpellier HSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
53' Montpellier HSC make a change. Musa Al Taamari trudges off to be replaced by Yann Karamoh on 53 minutes.
54' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Rasmus Nicolaisen will be fuming at that decision.
59' Montpellier HSC is showing some good football. However, Montpellier HSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
60' Moussa Diarra is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
62' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Zakaria Aboukhlal exits the field as Shavy Warren Babicka enters on 62.
65' Poor challenge from Teji Savanier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
67' Montpellier HSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Khalil Fayad is hanging Akor Adams on the field on 67 minute.
68' Montpellier HSC make a change. Leo Leroy trudges off to be replaced by Jordan Ferri on 68 minutes.
70' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Moussa Diarra departs to be replaced by Gabriel Suazo.
75' It looks surprising Montpellier HSC does not make any changes. Musa Al Taamari has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
80' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Niklas Schmidt is replaced by Stijn Spierings on 80 minute.
81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Khalil Fayad makes it 1-2.
81' Ibrahim Cissoko is replacing Cristian Casseres Jr. for the Toulouse FC side.
83' Controversy at the stadium! Rasmus Nicolaisen argues furiously but the card stands.
88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yann Karamoh.
90' Boubacar Kouyate makes way for Modibo Sagnan at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

37
Yann Gboho
8
Vincent Sierro
20
Niklas Schmidt ↓ Stijn Spierings 80'
24
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↓ Ibrahim Cissoko 81'
9
Thijs Dallinga
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ Shavy Warren Babicka 62'
23
Moussa Diarra ↓ Gabriel Suazo 70'
3
Mikkel Desler ↓ Warren Kamanzi 62'
6
Logan Costa
50
Guillaume Restes

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

Montpellier HSC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michel Der Zakarian

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zakaria Aboukhlal	3
Teji Savanier	2
Chaibi Fares	2
Gaetan Laborde	2
Sepe Elye Wahi	2
Thijs Dallinga	2
Akor Adams	2
Khalil Fayad	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D 2024-04-13 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2024-04-07 Toulouse FC 0–0 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2024-03-31 Clermont Foot 63 0–3 Toulouse FC W

Montpellier HSC Form

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2024-04-26 Montpellier HSC 1–1 FC Nantes D 2024-04-21 Stade de Reims 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2024-04-14 Clermont Foot 63 1–1 Montpellier HSC D 2024-04-07 Montpellier HSC 2–0 FC Lorient W 2024-03-31 Le Havre AC 0–2 Montpellier HSC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.23 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Montpellier HSC xG

I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC31% Draw29% Montpellier HSC40%

Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Montpellier HSC

69%

Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC23% Draw47% Montpellier HSC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

0 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

8.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

0 – 2

7.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.