Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Bollengier
- Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
- Assistant 2 Erwan Finjean
6 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 7.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | Olympique de Marseille | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | RC Strasbourg Alsace | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Mar | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Toulouse FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | FC Nantes | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Apr | Stade de Reims | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | FC Lorient | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | Le Havre AC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Toulouse FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Montpellier HSC is showing some good football. However, Montpellier HSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Toulouse FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Montpellier HSC backline.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Akor Adams made 6 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' It’s high time Michel Der Zakarian made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 26' Teji Savanier picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 27' Magnificent from Teji Savanier! That is 51 goals in 340 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 32' Montpellier HSC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 34' GOAL! Thijs Dallinga fires home to make it 1-1!
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' Leo Leroy was booked on 44.
- 49' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 53' Yann Karamoh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Musa Al Taamari on 53 minute.
- 54' The referee calls foul for Rasmus Nicolaisen. He receives a card.
- 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' Moussa Diarra was booked on 60.
- 62' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Shavy Warren Babicka on, Zakaria Aboukhlal off on 62 minutes.
- 65' Teji Savanier picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 67' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Akor Adams is replaced by Khalil Fayad on 67 minute.
- 68' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 68 minute. Leo Leroy leaves to be changed by Jordan Ferri.
- 70' Gabriel Suazo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Moussa Diarra at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' Modibo Sagnan, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 80' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 80 minute. Niklas Schmidt leaves to be changed by Stijn Spierings.
- 81' Goal! Khalil Fayad scores his 4 goal in 429 matches.
- 81' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Cristian Casseres Jr. by Ibrahim Cissoko on 81 minute.
- 83' A moment of madness from Rasmus Nicolaisen on 83 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
- 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carles Martínez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Yann Karamoh. He receives a card.
- 90' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Modibo Sagnan comes on to replace Boubacar Kouyate.
- Full Time. Montpellier HSC beats Toulouse FC
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 37
- 8
- 20
- 24
- 9
- 2
- 7
-
23
Moussa Diarra ↓ Gabriel Suazo 70'
-
3
Mikkel Desler ↓ Warren Kamanzi 62'
- 6
- 50
Bench
- 30
-
4
Stijn Spierings ↑ 80'
- 25
-
10
Ibrahim Cissoko ↑ 81'
-
17
Gabriel Suazo ↑ 70'
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 62'
- 15
- 11
-
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 62'
Coach
Carles Martínez
Montpellier HSC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 6
- 3
- 16
- 11
- 27
- 36
-
9
Musa Al Taamari ↓ Yann Karamoh 53'
- 4
-
18
Leo Leroy ↓ Jordan Ferri 68'
- 13
-
8
Akor Adams ↓ Khalil Fayad 67'
Bench
-
12
Jordan Ferri ↑ 68'
-
23
Yann Karamoh ↑ 53'
-
5
Modibo Sagnan ↑ 90'
- 77
- 17
- 19
- 29
-
22
Khalil Fayad ↑ 67'
- 1
Coach
Michel Der Zakarian
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | 3 |
| Chaibi Fares | 2 |
| Gaetan Laborde | 2 |
| Sepe Elye Wahi | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 2 |
| Akor Adams | 2 |
| Khalil Fayad | 2 |
| Teji Savanier | 2 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Montpellier HSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
69%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Montpellier HSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

