Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2023-24

Toulouse FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Montpellier HSC

Fri 3 May 2024 · 17:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 27' Teji Savanier

Thijs Dallinga 34' 1–1

1–2 81' Khalil Fayad

Y 26' Teji Savanier

Y 44' Leo Leroy

Rasmus Nicolaisen 54' Y

Moussa Diarra 60' Y

R 65' Teji Savanier

Rasmus Nicolaisen 83' YR

Y 90' Yann Karamoh

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marc Bollengier
Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
Assistant 2 Erwan Finjean

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Montpellier HSC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC 2022-10-02 Toulouse FC 4–2 Montpellier HSC 2019-11-10 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Montpellier HSC	H	1–2	L
28 Apr	FC Lorient	A	2–1	W
21 Apr	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–2	D
13 Apr	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	2–1	W
07 Apr	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	0–0	D
31 Mar	Clermont Foot 63	A	3–0	W

Montpellier HSC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Toulouse FC	A	2–1	W
26 Apr	FC Nantes	H	1–1	D
21 Apr	Stade de Reims	A	2–1	W
14 Apr	Clermont Foot 63	A	1–1	D
07 Apr	FC Lorient	H	2–0	W
31 Mar	Le Havre AC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadium Municipal!
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Montpellier HSC's compact 5-3-2.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
26' That looks like a foul for a card for Teji Savanier.
27' Magnificent from Teji Savanier! That is 48 goals in 340 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
32' A quiet spell here at Stadium Municipal. Toulouse FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
34' What an equalizer from Thijs Dallinga!
39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
44' Montpellier HSC player sees a card in front of him.
49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michel Der Zakarian might look to freshen things up shortly.
53' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Musa Al Taamari is replaced by Yann Karamoh.
54' Controversy at the stadium! Rasmus Nicolaisen argues furiously but the card stands.
59' Toulouse FC have won 404 goals from 420 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
60' The referee calls foul for Moussa Diarra. He receives a card.
62' Toulouse FC make a change. Zakaria Aboukhlal trudges off to be replaced by Shavy Warren Babicka on 62 minutes.
65' That looks like a foul for a card for Teji Savanier.
67' Khalil Fayad is ready to make an impact after coming on for Akor Adams at the 67 minute mark.
68' The supporters are chanting for Jordan Ferri. He replaces Leo Leroy on 68 minute.
70' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Gabriel Suazo on, Moussa Diarra off on 70 minutes.
75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
80' Toulouse FC make a change. Niklas Schmidt trudges off to be replaced by Stijn Spierings on 80 minutes.
81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Khalil Fayad makes it 1-2.
81' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ibrahim Cissoko is hanging Cristian Casseres Jr. on the field on 81 minute.
83' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Rasmus Nicolaisen gets a card.
88' It looks surprising Montpellier HSC does not make any changes. Musa Al Taamari has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Yann Karamoh is booked for Montpellier HSC — card on 90.
90' Boubacar Kouyate makes way for Modibo Sagnan at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

37
Yann Gboho
8
Vincent Sierro
20
Niklas Schmidt ↓ Stijn Spierings 80'
24
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↓ Ibrahim Cissoko 81'
9
Thijs Dallinga
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ Shavy Warren Babicka 62'
23
Moussa Diarra ↓ Gabriel Suazo 70'
3
Mikkel Desler ↓ Warren Kamanzi 62'
6
Logan Costa
50
Guillaume Restes

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

Montpellier HSC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michel Der Zakarian

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zakaria Aboukhlal	3
Thijs Dallinga	2
Akor Adams	2
Khalil Fayad	2
Teji Savanier	2
Chaibi Fares	2
Gaetan Laborde	2
Sepe Elye Wahi	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D 2024-04-13 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2024-04-07 Toulouse FC 0–0 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2024-03-31 Clermont Foot 63 0–3 Toulouse FC W

Montpellier HSC Form

2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2024-04-26 Montpellier HSC 1–1 FC Nantes D 2024-04-21 Stade de Reims 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2024-04-14 Clermont Foot 63 1–1 Montpellier HSC D 2024-04-07 Montpellier HSC 2–0 FC Lorient W 2024-03-31 Le Havre AC 0–2 Montpellier HSC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.23 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Montpellier HSC xG

I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC31% Draw29% Montpellier HSC40%

Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Montpellier HSC

69%

Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC23% Draw47% Montpellier HSC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

0 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

8.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

0 – 2

7.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.