Saturday , 10 October 2026

Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 15:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 11,643 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Hamed Traore
Akor Adams 65' 1–1
Modibo Sagnan 71' 2–1
2–2 72' Ado Onaiwu
Akor Adams 75' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs AJ Auxerre — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 20.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep AJ Auxerre H 3–2 W
15 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–3 L
31 Aug FC Nantes H 1–3 L
23 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–6 L
18 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
19 May Racing Club de Lens A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Montpellier HSC A 2–3 L
14 Sep AS Monaco FC H 0–3 L
01 Sep Le Havre AC A 1–3 L
25 Aug FC Nantes A 0–2 L
18 Aug OGC Nice H 2–1 W
17 May US Concarneau H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
AJ Auxerre this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AJ Auxerre
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 AJ Auxerre xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC49% Draw25% AJ Auxerre26%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
74%
Draw or AJ Auxerre
51%
Montpellier HSC or AJ Auxerre
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC35% Draw43% AJ Auxerre22%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push AJ Auxerre covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.