FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Machida Zelvia to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sang-ho Na, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shunki Higashi suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Ryo Germain has been relatively quiet despite scoring 36 goals in his last 275 appearances.
- 21' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Daihachi Okamura is replaced by Ibrahim Dresevic on 21 minute.
- 26' What composure from Yuki Soma! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Machida Zelvia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 41' Hayato Araki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' The whistle greets Shunki Higashi as he departs to be replaced by Daiki Suga.
- 48' The referee calls foul for Tolgay Arslan. He receives a card.
- 53' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Ryuho Kikuchi is replaced by Kotaro Hayashi.
- 58' The referee shows FC Machida Zelvia player a card on 58.
- 59' Tolgay Arslan doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sota Nakamura is hanging Mutsuki Kato on the field on 72 minute.
- 76' Shota Fujio gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Se-hun Oh and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Sota Nakamura puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Sang-ho Na. He replaces Yuki Soma on 77 minute.
- 79' The referee shows FC Machida Zelvia player a card on 79.
- 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 85' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tolgay Arslan is replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
- 90' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Daiki Suga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 77'
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 77'
-
4
Ryuho Kikuchi ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 53'
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 76'
Bench
- 18
-
5
Ibrahim Dresevic ↑ 21'
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 77'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 76'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 77'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 53'
- 49
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 46'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Sota Koshimichi 85'
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Sota Nakamura 72'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 46'
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 13
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 85'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 72'
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-02-16
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.