Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 9 Apr 2023 · 13:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Referee Cedric Favre
  • Referee Laurent Coniglio
  • Referee Samir Zolota
  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Toulouse FC H 1–2 L
31 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 1–1 D
19 Mar Clermont Foot 63 H 2–1 W
12 Mar AC Ajaccio A 1–0 W
05 Mar Angers SCO H 5–0 W
25 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Montpellier HSC A 2–1 W
02 Apr Stade Brestois 29 A 1–3 L
18 Mar Lille OSC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Angers SCO A 2–0 W
05 Mar Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
26 Feb Stade de Reims A 0–3 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Montpellier HSC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 9' Toulouse FC make a change. Brecht Dejaegere trudges off to be replaced by Thijs Dallinga on 9 minutes.
  • 14' Issiaga Sylla has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 420 appearances.
  • 19' The 25-year-old Waren Kamanzi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' It looks surprising Montpellier HSC does not make any changes. Ado Onaiwu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' Magnificent from Thijs Dallinga! That is 37 goals in 129 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. Montpellier HSC and Toulouse FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Montpellier HSC and Toulouse FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 58' Toulouse FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Falaye Sacko made 394 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Philippe Montanier will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 69' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Denis Genreau exits the field as Stijn Spierings enters on 69.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Branco van den Boomen.
  • 71' The whistle greets Jordan Ferri as he departs to be replaced by Leo Leroy.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Arnaud Nordin is replaced by Stephy Mavididi.
  • 77' Denis Genreau is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Montpellier HSC so far.
  • 78' Pedro Mendes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mamadou Sakho at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 85' GOAL! Chaibi Fares scores on 85.
  • 86' Chaibi Fares makes way for Gabriel Suazo at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
  • 88' Sepe Elye Wahi adds to his 0 season tally! Montpellier HSC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 1-2 the final result. Montpellier HSC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC47% Draw26% Toulouse FC27%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
73%
Draw or Toulouse FC
53%
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC34% Draw45% Toulouse FC21%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
30%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.