Saturday , 5 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sun 6 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC Volksparkstadion

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
24 Aug SC Verl A 3–0 W
16 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
25 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 0–0 D
23 Aug VfB 1921 Krieschow A 9–0 W
16 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
10 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–3 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 3–4 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #11
0 Points 1
1 Played 1
0 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 0
0 Scored 0
2 Conceded 0
-2 GD +0
0.00 PPG 1.00
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
100% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Hamburger SV are 15th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 11th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

H2H

Predictions

0.66 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

Hamburger SV27% Draw31% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%

Both Teams to Score

Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.91

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
58%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
69%

Half-Time Result

Hamburger SV13% Draw55% 1. FSV Mainz 0532%

Correct Score

0 – 1
17.2%
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 2
11%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 4
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 13% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 26% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 15% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
29%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.