Tuesday , 20 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sun 6 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Sheraldo Becker
0–2 41' Philipp Mwene
0–3 48' Phillip Tietz
0–4 83' Phillip Tietz

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–5 L
29 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
24 Aug SC Verl A 3–0 W
16 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W
02 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Sep Hamburger SV A 5–0 W
29 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 0–0 D
23 Aug VfB 1921 Krieschow A 9–0 W
16 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
10 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–3 L
03 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #5
9 Points 10
6 Played 6
3 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 2
6 Scored 14
15 Conceded 10
-9 GD +4
1.50 PPG 1.67
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Hamburger SV are 9th (9 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/4
16-30
3/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 2 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 5 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Anthony Caci 2 G 2 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hamburger SV and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Hamburger SV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 19' Sheraldo Becker adds to his 3 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 24' Phillip Tietz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 6 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' It’s high time Urs Fischer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 31' Anthony Caci picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 35' Zakaria El Ouahdi was booked on 35.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Zakaria El Ouahdi gets a card.
  • 41' GOAL! Philipp Mwene fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 46' Hamburger SV make a change. Bilal Nadir trudges off to be replaced by Fabio Vieira on 46 minutes.
  • 48' Against the run of play, Phillip Tietz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' A change in the Hamburger SV ranks — Terem Moffi exits the field as Otto Stange enters on 64.
  • 68' Ransford Konigsdorffer is replacing Sheraldo Becker for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hamburger SV and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 78' The 24-year-old Zakaria El Ouahdi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Danny da Costa comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
  • 83' What composure from Phillip Tietz! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-4.
  • 84' Louis Lemke has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Wolfe on 84 minute.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Philipp Mwene. He receives a card.
  • 88' Rael Nakuzola has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stefan Posch on 88 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Sheraldo Becker. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.29 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV15% Draw17% 1. FSV Mainz 0568%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 4.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
32%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
85%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV8% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0563%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
8.9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 4
7.1%
1 – 4
6.5%
1 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 5
4.3%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 93%
-0.5 7% — 93%
+0.5 19% — 81%
+1 19% 17% 64%
+1.5 36% — 64%
+2 36% 20% 44%
+2.5 56% — 44%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.